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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Chicken Tune of the Day
Nice White Pelican, Lake Ziway–southwestern shore, Oromia, Ethiopia. “Calls from a big group of birds on a big pool of water separated from the principle lake, given as they have been fed fish by an area. The loud splashing happens each time a fish was thrown on the group and they’d all lunge for it.”
* * *
Politics
“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are the truth is a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
Our Famously Free Press
“Newsguard Case Highlights the Pentagon’s Censorship Finish-Round” [Matt Taibbi, Racket News]. “On September 7, 2021, the U.S. Division of Protection gave an award of $749,387 to Newsguard Applied sciences, a personal service that scores media retailers on ‘reliability’ and ‘belief.’ In line with the go well with, roughly 40,000 subscribers purchase Newsguard subscriptions, getting in return a system of “Diet Labels” supposedly emphasizing ‘secure’ content material. Importantly, Newsguard’s prospects embody universities and libraries, whose customers are offered with labels warning you that CBS is nice and Tucker Carlson is harmful…. Consortium Information was labeled a purveyor of ‘disinformation,’ ‘misinformation,’ and ‘false content material,’ and, worst of all, ‘anti-U.S.’ That is even if, in response to the go well with, Newsguard solely flagged six articles out of the tens of hundreds Consortium Information has revealed because the late award-winning reporter Robert Parry based it in 1995. … When Michael Shellenberger and I testified earlier than Congress in March, we talked about Newsguard as a ‘government-funded’ rankings service. I used to be rapidly contacted by e-mail by co-CEO Gordon Crovitz, who hastened to appropriate me: Newsguard isn’t government-funded, however merely a company that receives authorities funds…. I instantly wrote again: “You’re not funded by the U.S. authorities, apart from a $750,000 Pentagon award?”…. Crovitz lastly answered, writing: ‘We’re ‘authorities funded’ in the identical approach that Verizon is ‘authorities funded: We’ve got licensed knowledge to the federal government for a payment, simply as Verizon has offered telco companies for a payment.’… The vanity about funding isn’t difficult, however it works. As a result of Newsguard has different prospects, it may declare to be an “impartial” information service that simply occurs to downgrade information studies that contradict and/or criticize the coverage of its main shopper, the Division of Protection…. The go well with additionally particulars what I feel is the extra insidious a part of the system. Within the guise of an impartial information service, Newsguard contacts retailers and interrogates them about disputed content material, not-so-subtly urgent for retractions.” • $750,000 is sofa change. However sufficient to hurt small fry like Consortium Information!
“Washington Put up Fully Botches Chaturbate Guidelines in Virginia Candidate Takedown” [The Intercept]. “The Washington Put up had a salacious tip on its fingers, graciously gifted to the newspaper by an unnamed Republican operative forward of a vital Virginia legislative election. The paper additionally had an issue: The exercise the tip uncovered was between consenting adults. Nevertheless it was additionally relatively sensational — intercourse and voyeurism on the web — so there needed to be a strategy to get it into print. The map by means of that thicket was additionally offered, it seems, by the identical operative. The paper framed the story round an allegation that was elegant if a bit absurd: Democratic candidate Susanna Gibson, it was alleged, had violated the phrases of service of the intercourse website Chaturbate by soliciting financial ideas for performing particular acts together with her husband. In line with a snippet of the phrases of service quoted by the Put up, Chaturbate’s coverage states that ‘requesting or demanding particular acts for ideas might end in a ban from the Platform for all events concerned.’ So it was that six of the ensuing article’s first 10 paragraphs zeroed in on the declare that Chaturbate’s phrases of service don’t enable performers to request ideas for particular intercourse acts, adopted by a number of examples of Gibson having carried out so. The message to Put up readers was clear: What consenting adults do amongst themselves is their enterprise, but when a candidate can’t be trusted with Chaturbate’s phrases of service, how can she be trusted with public workplace?” Nonetheless: “An entire studying of the web site’s phrases of service, testimony from customers of the location, and a Chaturbate official reveal that the coverage applies to not performers like Gibson, however to customers of the location, who will not be allowed to demand performers do particular acts in alternate for a tip.” • Oppo — dumped!
2024
Time for the Countdown Clock!
* * *
“Ex-Chief of Employees Mark Meadows granted immunity, tells particular counsel he warned Trump about 2020 claims: Sources” [ABC]. “Former President Donald Trump’s closing chief of employees within the White Home, Mark Meadows, has spoken with particular counsel Jack Smith’s workforce no less than 3 times this yr, together with as soon as earlier than a federal grand jury, which got here solely after Smith granted Meadows immunity to testify below oath, in response to sources accustomed to the matter…. As described to ABC Information, Meadows privately advised Smith’s investigators that — to at the present time — he has but to see any proof of fraud that might have stored now-president Joe Biden from the White Home, and he advised them he agrees with a authorities evaluation on the time that the 2020 presidential election was essentially the most safe election in U.S. historical past. Beneath the immunity order from Smith’s workforce, the data Meadows offered to the grand jury earlier this yr can’t be used in opposition to him in a federal prosecution…. Whereas talking with investigators, Meadows was particularly requested if Trump ever acknowledged to him that he’d misplaced the election. Meadows advised investigators he by no means heard Trump say that, in response to sources.”
“Tearful Jenna Ellis Pleads Responsible as ‘Legal professional Who’s Additionally a Christian’” [The Roys Report]. “Accepting a plea take care of the Fulton County district lawyer’s workplace, Ellis pleaded responsible to at least one felony depend of aiding and abetting false statements and writings. The statements involved Ellis telling lawmakers in Georgia that pretend votes have been counted within the 2020 presidential election. She additionally agreed to offer proof doubtlessly implicating different defendants within the sweeping felony racketeering case and to testify in any future trials.”
“Trump Strikes to Dismiss January 6 Case” [Declassified with Julie Kelly]. “There isn’t any love misplaced between each side and the choose. Chutkan scolded John Lauro, Trump’s lead lawyer within the January 6 case, quite a few instances in the course of the October 16 listening to in her Washington courtroom to debate Smith’s proposed gag order. At one level, she admonished Lauro for giving a “marketing campaign” speech whereas at instances elevating her voice and pointing her finger at him. Extra fireworks will be anticipated within the close to future over Trump’s motions to dismiss the case based mostly on three challenges: selective and vindictive prosecution; statutory grounds; and constitutional grounds. (Smith additionally indicted Trump in June within the Southern District of Florida for mishandling nationwide protection data and obstructing the investigation.)… [T]he selective prosecution movement accused Biden of pressuring officers at his Division of Justice to open an investigation into the previous president… The movement to dismiss on statutory grounds challenged the proof contained in Smith’s 45-page indictment—some referred to it as a ‘talking’ indictment after it was filed, that means the doc acted extra as a public relations car then a authorized one—that detailed Trump’s alleged scheme to remain in energy after the 2020 election…. And in a little bit of shade-throwing, Lauro cited McDonnell v United States, the profitable attraction of former Virginia Governor Robert McDonnell’s 2014 fraud conviction, to blast Smith’s ‘expansive interpretation’ of fraud that ‘criminalize[s] broad swaths of bizarre political interactions.’… Lauro, understandably, made his most impassioned plea to dismiss the case based mostly on the grounds it violates Trump’s Constitutional rights. ‘[The] indictment should be dismissed as a result of it seeks to criminalize core political speech and advocacy that lies on the coronary heart of the First Modification,’ Lauro wrote within the third movement…. It’s unlikely these motions will go wherever in Chutkan’s courtroom besides to offer extra fodder for her surliness towards Group Trump. For now, Trump’s attorneys ought to simply sharpen their arguments for the inevitable showdown on the Supreme Courtroom.”
“Trump Preps for an Avalanche of Co-Conspirators to Flip” [Rolling Stone]. “For the reason that summer time, Donald Trump’s authorized groups have been wracked by one abiding worry: betrayal. On one entrance, the previous president’s inside circle has fretted about what number of co-defendants within the Fulton County felony case — or co-conspirators within the particular counsel probes — may flip in opposition to him, settle for a plea deal, and cooperate with the prosecutors. However lingering beneath the worry of disloyalty lies one other, darker worry about whether or not anybody anybody nonetheless working in, or near, Trump’s inside orbit may already secretly be working with prosecutors. For months, Trump, his attorneys, and advisers have been getting ready for a possible onslaught of co-defendants flipping on him forward of trial within the Georgia case. Within the final week alone, three distinguished co-defendants — Jenna Ellis, Kenneth Chesebro, and Sidney Powell — have all struck plea offers with the district lawyer, and the previous president and his workforce predict extra to return. In line with two sources accustomed to the scenario, and one other two individuals briefed on it, the previous president and his inside sanctum have tried for months to establish which imperiled Trump allies have been inching in the direction of slicing offers. When Trump has despatched his advisers and attorneys on these so-called ‘fact-finding’ missions this yr, they’ve routinely come up empty — unable to fulfill the previous president’s calls for to know who’s getting ready to snitch. Within the face of this uncertainty, a number of of Trump’s attorneys have been briefing the ex-president on what one supply calls ‘menace and [potential] injury assessments.’”
* * *
“Biden received’t file for New Hampshire Democratic main” [The Hill]. “President Biden’s identify is not going to be on the Democratic main poll in New Hampshire in 2024, each his marketing campaign and state Democratic Celebration confirmed to The Hill on Tuesday. ‘Whereas the president needs to take part within the Major, he’s obligated as a Democratic candidate for President to adjust to the Delegate Choice Guidelines for the 2024 Democratic Nationwide Conference promulgated by the Democratic Nationwide Committee. On October 24, 2023, the Democratic Nationwide Committee’s Guidelines & Bylaws Committee issued steering urging Democratic campaigns to chorus from putting candidates’ names on the poll,’ wrote Biden marketing campaign supervisor Julie Chavez Rodriguez in a letter obtained by The Hill to state Democratic Celebration Chair Raymond Buckley…. [This] comes as Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) is reportedly gearing as much as launch a longshot bid for the Democratic nomination in opposition to Biden. Phillips has reportedly carried out outreach in New Hampshire; the Minnesota Democrat will not be anticipated to finally draw a aggressive contest in opposition to the president, however the transfer would create an unwelcome distraction for Democrats.” • I suppose Phillips would then automagically change into “the challenger”?
“The Democrats Do Have A Approach To Get Rid Of Joe Biden” [1945]. “You will need to observe that the submitting deadline for Nevada, the earliest within the nation, has handed and 14 extra states have submitting deadlines earlier than the tip of the yr. That makes it more and more troublesome for anybody to problem Biden within the primaries. As such, Biden will seem on the first poll and is by far the almost certainly candidate to win the nomination. But, the present commander-in-chief may nonetheless decide to step down. The Democratic Celebration would then be compelled to elect a candidate at its conference subsequent yr. It will be unprecedented within the trendy period, to say the least. In different phrases, the window for the DNC to exchange Biden is quickly closing. Biden thus received’t be a part of the ranks of Tyler, Fillmore, Pierce, Johnson, and Arthur, except he chooses to step out of the race. Nonetheless, Biden may nonetheless change into the seventeenth president who was denied a second time period.” • I attempted to learn the Democrat Celebration bylaws as soon as; they have been utterly, mind-numbingly impenetrable, especiallly the money-laundering components. My take is that the DNC, by means of the Guidelines and Bylaws Committee, can do regardless of the [family blog] they need, every time they need, and that the bylaws are written with that risk in thoughts; see right here. (The one actual incompressible timeline challenge is the precise printing of normal election ballots, provided that election day is constitutionally fastened.)
The choice:
KAMALA HARRIS: The falcon…it can not HEAR the falconer. [NERVOUS LAUGH] Issues crumble!
— kate h.w. bush 🇵🇸🇦🇲 (@ari_ugh_) October 22, 2023
“Nationwide survey: Biden has a Latino drawback” [Orlando Sentinel]. “Politicians ignore the Hispanic group at their peril. It’s contributed essentially the most to U.S. inhabitants development over the previous few years, and a brand new Hispanic turns into eligible to vote each 30 seconds. And Hispanics don’t simply stay in a couple of pockets of the nation — they’re transferring to each nook…. LIBRE’s ballot tells us that Latinos sense one thing is deeply mistaken with the financial system. Practically 4 out of 5 Hispanics have a detrimental view of the financial system, and 71% say the nation is on the mistaken observe. Drilling extra deeply, 84% say inflation has damage their high quality of life. These figures assist clarify Hispanics’ perspective towards Biden: A majority disapprove of his job efficiency, whereas he’s underwater with impartial Hispanics by 28 factors. However most alarmingly, the pessimistic attitudes are most prevalent amongst youthful voters. When requested in the event that they agree that the nation is declining and that their kids could have extra restricted alternatives, 70% of retirement-age Hispanics agree. Nonetheless, a exceptional 85% of these 18 to 34 agree. Meaning six out of each seven younger Latino voters assume the nation is declining. These disillusioned voters will likely be a drive not solely within the coming presidential and congressional elections however for many years to return. Politicians from each events can attraction to this group by providing coverage options that may genuinely enhance their lives as a substitute of treating them like an curiosity group.” • Like common concrete materials advantages.
No:
Shouldn’t that be “with Joe and the Democrats”?
* * *
VA: “Virginia Republicans ship express “18+ solely” advert attacking candidate for intercourse movies” [Axios]. “The Republican Celebration of Virginia is sending voters in Henrico County a political mailer labeled ‘express’ and ’18+ solely.’ It’s the celebration’s first main swing at Democratic Home of Delegates candidate Susanna Gibson over stay intercourse movies she streamed together with her husband on the web site Chaturbate. Contained in the sealed envelope are screenshots and quotes from the movies. In a duplicate of the two-page mailer obtained by Axios, the screenshots of Gibson will not be express. However the quotes from the movies are…. The flier additionally features a household photograph of Gibson and her husband with their two younger kids, whose faces are blacked out.” • I don’t know what the Gibsons have been considering, however a salaciously sealed envelope? Actually?
VA: “Virginia GOP mails voters express flyers about Democrat Susanna Gibson” [NBC]. ” Two weeks earlier than Virginia’s Nov. 7 election, Virginia’s Republican Celebration has despatched voters flyers together with express content material about Democrat Susanna Gibson, who’s mired in a intercourse scandal as she runs for a seat within the Virginia Home of Delegates…. The Home of Delegates is intently break up between Democrats and Republicans. Republicans maintain 48 seats, Democrats maintain 46 seats, and 6 seats are vacant.” • Whoops.
VA: “Virginia Democrats defend Susanna Gibson after sex-livestream revelation” [Guardian]. “Youngkin advised the station he had not seen the mailers, however felt Gibson ought to be held accountable. ‘This candidate’s private life is one thing that that candidate wants to elucidate to individuals, and the Democratic celebration must have an opinion on this,’ he mentioned.” • Ah, “must.” I assumed that locution was just for fingerwagging liberal Democrats!
Obama Legacy
“911 name captures frantic moments after Obama household chef drowns at Martha’s Winery property” [New York Post]. “Particulars have been sparse because the July accident and Massachusetts State Police has requested that the identities of witnesses and USSS brokers who reported to the scene be redacted from public studies. Campbell, from Dumfries, Virginia, had beforehand labored as a sous chef on the White Home, starting below President George W. Bush and staying by means of Obama’s two phrases. The Obamas later requested him to depart the White Home with them and observe as their private chef.” • Destiny.
“Obama Chef Loss of life Investigation Replace” [Judicial Watch]. Not seeing so much, and I’ve solely seen sub-Brietbart-level commentary. This caught my eye: “At roughly 8:40PM [redacted]’s motorcade arrived on the ICP [incident command post] and I used to be launched to [redacted]. I … together with EFD [Edgartown Fire Dept.] Chief Schaeffer briefed [redacted] on the scenario so far, in addition to the search and rescue efforts at the moment underway. A short while later, [redacted] arrived on the ICP and I used to be launched to her. I noticed that [redacted] was visibly emotional and was shaking from being chilly and moist…. In a preliminary dialog I had with [redacted] and [redacted] [she] knowledgeable me that when she initially noticed CAMPBELL fall off his paddleboard, started splashing and have become extraordinarily panicked, yelling for assist and subsequently went underwater in a short time. [Redacted] said that she instantly discarded her paddleboard and swam over to CAMPBELL as quick as she may in [an] try and rescue him.” • I’m assuming that the [redacted] particular person with the motorcade was Obama, and the opposite [redacted] particular person was the staffer who tried to rescue Campbell. As I learn this, the police talked to each of them on the similar time. I don’t know if that’s odd or not.
Republican Funhouse
Democrats en Déshabillé
Affected person readers, it appears that evidently individuals are really studying the back-dated publish! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are a lot of updates. So I should do this. –lambert
I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Celebration (“the Democrat Celebration is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated publish, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “stay” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Celebration is, the truth is, a tough drawback. I do assume the paragraph that follows is on level all the best way again to 2016, if not earlier than:
The Democrat Celebration is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Pay attention, Liberal!). It follows that the Democrat Celebration is as “unreformable” because the PMC is unreformable; if the Democrat Celebration didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. If the Democrat Celebration fails to control, that’s as a result of the PMC lacks the potential to control. (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” in fact.) Second, all of the working components of the Celebration reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between components of the Celebration (ka-ching, however not totally) these components comprise a community — a Flex Web? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with belongings within the press and the intelligence group.
Be aware, in fact, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is restricted by different courses; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.
* * *
“Practically 300 Bernie Sanders Alumni Name on Senator to Again a Ceasefire in Gaza” [The Intercept]. “In a letter despatched Tuesday, former staffers requested Sanders to introduce a Senate-side companion to the ‘ceasefire now’ decision within the Home; help an finish to U.S. funding ‘for warfare crimes in opposition to the Palestinian individuals, the growth of settlements, and the occupation of Palestinian lands’; and to help an finish to the blockade of Gaza. The Home ceasefire decision — led by Reps. Cori Bush, D-Mo.; Rashida Tlaib, D-Mich.; André Carson, D-Ind.; Summer season Lee, D-Pa.; and Delia Ramirez, D-Unwell. — now has 18 members supporting it. ‘President Biden clearly values your counsel, as is proven by the methods you’ve managed to form the outcomes of his presidency,’ the staffers wrote. ‘We urge you to make it clear what’s at stake on this disaster politically, morally, and strategically.’”
“How the Democrats betrayed the Jews” [David Mamet, Unherd]. “However there isn’t any extra cosy thriller within the antisemitism of the Democratic Celebration; Representatives are affiliated with the Democratic Socialists and pro-Palestinians, calling for the tip of the state of Israel — that’s, for the dying of the Jews. And Democrat Representatives repeat and refuse to retract the libel that Israel bombed a hospital, despite absolute proof on the contrary, and won’t name out the unutterable atrocities of Hamas. The writing is on the wall. In blood.”
“Unique: How did California DMV clear up useless rats in its Fresno workplace? Emails element delays” [Sacramento Bee]. “The communiques have been obtained by means of a California Public Information Act request and included 13 e-mail threads from the DMV in regards to the points on the name middle on the Manchester Middle mall. Information from town of Fresno’s Code Enforcement Division have been additionally obtained that detailed an inspection of the DMV’s leased property. The emails paint a extra detailed image of how a couple of useless rodents festered right into a stench that one worker described as ‘a useless person who had been sitting within the 110-degree warmth for 10 days.’ The staff, represented by SEIU Native 1000, say the rodent drawback existed for years however that they alerted their union representatives when the stench turned insufferable and requested them to intervene. Though a DMV supervisor initially submitted a criticism concerning the scent on Sept. 26, Omninet Capital, which manages the constructing, didn’t name in its pest management contractor for every week, the emails present. The emails additionally reveal that 5 name middle workers filed employees’ compensation claims, and two went to the hospital, because of the stench. It seems that the constructing’s administration additionally didn’t set up air scrubbers till practically two-and-a-half weeks after the criticism was initially lodged.” • However CalPERS retains rolling alongside!
Realignment and Legitimacy
“Mock Constitutional Conference Reveals Far Proper’s Imaginative and prescient for Rewriting the U.S. Structure” [Exposed by CMD]. “For 3 days in August, 115 “commissioners,” as conference organizers branded them, from 49 states participated in a mock constitutional conference — simulating an occasion that authorized students warn may end in minority rule and a radical curtailment of federal protections if it really occurred. Proper-wing activists have lengthy advocated for a constitutional conference, an untried technique for altering the nation’s founding doc offered for in Article V of the Structure, which empowers states to name for a conference that strikes ahead as soon as two-thirds of them accomplish that. Up to now, 19 states have signed on to a decision from the Conference of States calling for a constitutional conference to radically curtail federal powers. … Conference of States has received passage of its far-reaching conference calls in 19 states, and ALEC-led teams declare that they have28 state functions for his or her balanced price range modification proposal — simply six shy of the 34 wanted to set off a conference.” • There’s the standard wing-nut stuff, together with time period limits and a balanced price range, however right here is the sweetener:
Ka-ching!
“Narcissism Fuels Congressional Dysfunction” [RealClearPolitics]. “Congress is dysfunctional. Everyone knows that. However the roots of this dysfunction should do with character, not ideology. Congress is a mirror of American society. Although Matt Gaetz, Andy Biggs, Ted Cruz, Nancy Mace, Rashida Tlaib, and Cori Bush (amongst others) span the ideological spectrum, all of them exemplify an epidemic of narcissism that threatens establishments throughout society. Geared up with an ‘unreasonably excessive sense of their very own significance,’ these narcissists in Congress use their perch for a ceaseless pursuit of consideration and self-promotion. Within the course of, they undermine public belief in establishments, that are at an all-time low in response to polls…. Civic advantage is the counterbalance to our inherent fallibility. The founders understood that character, not ideology, determines the destiny of American democracy.” • No, they didn’t! If males have been angels….
“Bracing for Influence” [John Michael Greer, Ecosophia]. I’ve loads to disagree with right here, however that is completely spot-on: “I’m not saying that you need to transfer to the nation, by your self or with a bunch of buddies, and settle into a life-style of bucolic bliss as a subsistence farmer. To start with, farming is a talented commerce; in the event you didn’t develop up doing it, or haven’t spent years on working farms studying the way it’s carried out, you don’t know sufficient to maintain your self from going broke or ravenous to dying. (It takes 5 to 10 years of laborious work on common to get previous the educational curve and attain the purpose at which you’ll be able to feed your self by farming.) Since we’re not speaking concerning the finish of the world, moreover, you possibly can anticipate to should maintain paying a mortgage, utility payments, and taxes whilst you fling your self into brutally laborious bodily labor from sunup to sunset. Individuals have this bizarre cultural fixation about going again to the land, and the dominant function of American tradition worldwide during the last century or so has impressed lots of people in different components of the world to fall into the identical psychological lure. Right here within the US, for a sure broad class of well-off urbanites, transferring to a rural space and spending a couple of years enjoying at farming is an authorized strategy to have your midlife disaster and end the duty of wrecking an unstable marriage. (I’ve watched this occur tolerably typically.) It’s not a viable strategy to take care of an impending financial and social disaster—once more, not except you grew up farming or have another entry to intensive hands-on expertise.” • It’s not simple being a peasant, which is why so many peasants — and particularly their kids — escape to town.
#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Basic Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the handle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
* * *
Covid is Airborne
“Peak threat of SARS-CoV-2 an infection inside 5 s of face-to-face encounters: an observational/retrospective research” [Nature]. “The hyperlink between aerosol dynamics and viral publicity threat will not be absolutely understood, significantly throughout motion and face-to-face interactions. To analyze this, we employed Particle Hint Velocimetry with a laser sheet and a high-speed digital camera to measure microparticles from a human model’s mouth. … Our outcomes confirmed that the height of viral publicity threat was inside 5 s throughout face-to-face encounters below each ventilated and non-ventilated circumstances. Furthermore, the chance of viral publicity tremendously decreased in ventilated circumstances in comparison with non-ventilated circumstances. Based mostly on these findings, contemplating a threat mitigation technique during 5 s throughout face-to-face encounters is anticipated to considerably scale back the chance of virus publicity in airborne transmission.” • What on earth may that technique be, one wonders? (This additionally offers an account of the “fleeting encounter” circumstances, together with Osterholm’s elevator case.
“One thing Terrible”
Lambert right here: I’m getting the sensation that the “One thing Terrible” is perhaps a sawtooth sample — variant after variant — that averages out to a completely excessive plateau. A number of exceptionally nasty sequelae, almost certainly deriving from immune dysregulation (says this layperson). To which we would add mind injury, together with persona adjustments therefrom.
* * *
Elite Maleficence
Droplet goons nonetheless killing individuals:
These tips by the Worldwide Society for Infectious Ailments about an infection management of COVID-19 are nonetheless based mostly upon the unscientific droplet dogma, which triggered a lot distress on the earth.
It was up to date in… September 2023 (!).
Disgrace on you, @ISID_org! https://t.co/uuKQzfp302 pic.twitter.com/uoFNSoUImc
— Maarten De Cock (@mdc_martinus) October 20, 2023
I’m nonetheless ready for affirmation on this, from the droplet goons at WHO:
Hopefully, fierce inner dissension is holding up publication.
* * *
Case Knowledge
NEVER TO BE UPDATED From BioBot wastewater knowledge, October 2:
Lambert right here: Leveling out to a excessive plateau wasn’t on my Bingo card! Maybe FL.1.5.1, excessive within the Northeast, has one thing going for it that different variants don’t have?
Regional knowledge:
Apparently, the upswing begins earlier than July 4, which neither accelerates nor retards it.
Variants
NOT UPDATED From CDC, October 14:
Lambert right here: High of the leaderboard: EG.5 (“Eris“), with HV.1 a robust second, and XBB.1.1.16.6 and FL.1.15.1 trailing. No BA.2.86. Nonetheless a Bouillabaisse…
From CDC, September 16:
Lambert right here: I certain hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to amenities minimize by directors of unwell intent).
CDC: “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance knowledge will likely be reported biweekly, based mostly on the provision of constructive check specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice every week; semiweekly.” Seems like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
Covid Emergency Room Visits
From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, October 21:
Lambert right here: Flattening? Solely every week’s lag, so this can be our greatest present nationwide, present indicator till Verily will get its home so as (and dealing class-centric, since I might doubt the higher crust goes to the ER).
NOTE “Charts and knowledge offered by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous yr, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not the whole pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “similar to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is acceptable for bothMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these individuals a lot. Discover additionally that this chart reveals, no less than for its time interval, that Covid will not be seasonal, though CDC is making an attempt to get us to imagine that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the present institutional equipment for injections.
Hospitalization
Bellwether New York Metropolis, knowledge as of October 25:
Leveling out? (New York State is now falling, too.) I hate this metric as a result of the lag makes it misleading (though the hospital-centric public well being institution loves it, hospitalization and deaths being the one metrics that matter).
NOT UPDATED Right here’s a unique CDC visualization on hospitalization, nationwide, not by state, however with a date, no less than. October 14:
Lambert right here: “Maps, charts, and knowledge offered by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Check Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”. So the place the heck is the replace, CDC?
Positivity
NOT UPDATED From Walgreens, October 23:
0.7%. Slight enhance. (It will be attention-grabbing to survey this inhabitants usually; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and large peer stress, went and bought examined anyhow.)
NOT UPDATED From Cleveland Clinic, October 21:
Lambert right here: Slight enhance. I do know that is simply Ohio, however the Cleveland Clinic is sweet*, and we’re starved for knowledge, so…. NOTE * Even when hospital an infection management is making an attempt to kill sufferers by eliminating common masking with N95s.
NOT UPDATED From CDC, traveler’s knowledge, October 2:
Down, albeit within the rear view mirror. And listed below are the variants for vacationers:
Sudden large BA.2.86 look.
Deaths
NOT UPDATED Iowa COVID-19 Tracker, September 27:
Lambert right here: The WHO knowledge is nugatory, so I changed it with the Iowa Covid Knowledge Tracker. Their technique: “These knowledge have been sourced, by way of the API from the CDC: https://knowledge.cdc.gov/NCHS/Situations-Contributing-to-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Stat/hk9y-quqm. This visualization updates on Wednesday evenings. Knowledge are provisional and are adjusted weekly by the CDC.” I can’t appear to get a pop-up that reveals a complete of the three causes (high proper). Readers?
Whole: 1,180,183 – 1,180,119 = 64 (64 * 365 = 23,360 deaths per yr, at the moment’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “residing with” Covid (fairly a bit increased than the minimizers would love, although they’ll discuss themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I could should resolve that is what the powers-that-be take into account “mission completed” for this explicit tranche of dying and illness).
Extra Deaths
The Economist, October 25:
Lambert right here: Based mostly on a machine-learning mannequin.
Stats Watch
There are not any official statistics of curiosity at the moment.
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Right this moment’s Worry & Greed Index: 32 Worry (earlier shut: 31 Worry) [CNN]. One week in the past: 35 (Worry). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Oct 25 at 1:31:59 PM ET
Zeitgeist Watch
“Oregon State College warns college students to ‘keep away from all robots,’ amid bomb menace with Starship supply robots” [FOX]. • Sensible as a normal rule….
Class Warfare
“Excessive steaks society: who’re the 12% of individuals consuming half of all beef within the US?” [Guardian]. “So who is that this 12% consuming all that beef? Males and folks between the ages of fifty and 65 have been extra more likely to be in what the researchers dubbed as ‘disproportionate beef eaters…. White individuals have been amongst these extra more likely to eat extra beef.” • Naturally, revenue was by no means investigated!
Information of the Wired
“With no Hint: Tips on how to Take Your Cellphone Off the Grid” [The Markup]. “If I’ve discovered something from this, it’s that money is king.” • Nicely value a learn. And lengthy stay money.
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Contact data for crops: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a test if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photographs of crops. Greens are effective! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you would like your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it in the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From Angie Neer:
Angie Neer writes: “I’m unsure what to make of those little crops nestled in a cavity within the base of a tree at about 5000 ft altitude within the Cascades of WA. I’ve been by means of numerous comparable forest with out ever noticing them, however then they’re fairly inconspicuous. The leaves (or petals?) appear to be blades of grass, however they radiate from a brief central stem, with 5-fold symmetry, nearly like flowers. The longest are about an inch. They bend round to level towards the morning solar.”
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Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not lined by the annual NC fundraiser. So in the event you see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see wherever else, please don’t hesitate to precise your appreciation in tangible kind. Bear in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common constructive suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. Once I get no donations for 5 or ten days I get nervous. Extra tangibly, a relentless trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I think about that trickle when setting fundraising objectives:
Right here is the display screen that may seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
In case you hate PayPal, you possibly can e-mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I offers you instructions on the best way to ship a test. Thanks!
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