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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Hen Track of the Day
American Goldfinch, Tompkins, New York, United States. A woodpecker, too.
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In Case You Would possibly Miss…
(1) Democrats and the working class.
(2) Starry Evening, up to date.
(3) Diddy, Son of Epstein?
Politics
“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are actually a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
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2024
Lower than a yr to go!
RCP Ballot Averages, April 5
Right here is Friday’s RCP ballot. Trump continues to be up in all of the Swing States (extra right here), however nonetheless main with one exception: PA. I’ve highlighted it once more, (1) as a result of BIden is now up there, and (2) it’s an outlier, has been for weeks. Why isn’t Trump doing nicely there? (I’ll work out a greater approach to do that, however for now: Blue dot = transfer towards Biden; pink dot = transfer towards Trump. No statistical signficance to any of it, and state polls are dangerous anyhow!)
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Trump (R): “Florida man discovered with contraband” [Adam’s Legal Newsletter]. “Donald Trump contends that he can’t be prosecuted for possessing labeled paperwork at Mar-a-Lago as a result of, whereas he was President, he exercised his authority beneath the Presidential Data Act (PRA) to categorize these paperwork as “private information.” On April 4, 2024, Decide Cannon denied Trump’s movement to dismiss the legal indictment primarily based on that idea, whereas declining to resolve the events’ dispute on the right interpretation of the PRA. On this publish I’ll supply my tackle this fracas. Government abstract: 1. The PRA protection is horrible, but in addition form of humorous. 2. The courtroom’s order on this subject was misguided, however 3. P(Doom) on this explicit subject is low.” PDoom is the chance of doom (for some definition of doom). I believe that’s a neat assemble! The entire article is nicely value a learn.
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Trump (R): “Contained in the Terrifyingly Competent Trump 2024 Marketing campaign” [Vanity Fair]. Essential. “Trump’s 2024 marketing campaign has already demonstrated Trump can run an efficient operation. ‘This marketing campaign is locked down,’ a Republican near Trump stated. In earlier cycles, Trump populated his campaigns with large egos like Roger Stone, Kushner, Ivanka, Steve Bannon, Kellyanne Conway, Corey Lewandowski, and Brad Parscale, amongst others. In 2024, Trump’s interior circle is made up of heads-down operatives Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita, Miller, and James Blair, who don’t play their agendas by way of the media. ‘You’ve gotten skilled individuals who don’t leak,’ longtime Trump confidant Stone stated. Trump trusts his senior workforce to do their jobs. Previously, Trump labored the telephone continually, soliciting recommendation from a large circle of pals, household, Manhattan enterprise associates, and media personalities. Trump’s fashion of pitting staffers towards each other created an incentive to leak. ‘The aspect whose opinion misplaced would run to the media,’ a 2020 marketing campaign veteran defined. ‘This time, he’s not speaking to randos.’ Most of all, Trump is disciplined as a result of concern is a strong motivator: His wealth and freedom are at stake.” And: “In early February 2023, Miller, the CEO of right-wing social media platform Gettr, joined the marketing campaign as senior strategist and messaging guru. With Miller and spokesperson Steven Cheung driving the message, the marketing campaign began to alter the information cycle. Trump visited the city of East Palestine, Ohio, weeks after a practice derailment triggered a disastrous chemical hearth.” Too dangerous Biden by no means confirmed up. Extra: “In October 2022, the 56-year-old Marine veteran, who has a shaved head and linebacker construct, joined the marketing campaign as senior adviser. LaCivita is a practitioner of the political darkish arts. Throughout the 2004 presidential election, he suggested the Swift Boat Veterans for Reality group that smeared John Kerry’s Vietnam Warfare file. It was a supreme act of chutzpah: Kerry’s opponent, George W. Bush, by no means served in Vietnam. LaCivita is greater than a road brawler. He has a Talmudic understanding of main guidelines. Final summer time, LaCivita lobbied state Republican events to alter their processes to favor Trump. (For instance, he satisfied the California GOP to apportion all delegates to the winner.) ‘Whereas everybody was dicking round final yr, the Trump individuals had been altering all these social gathering guidelines, getting their individuals in place, altering the battlefield,’ a prime GOP strategist stated.” • Presumably, the marketing campaign workforce has discovered a method to make the most of Trump’s courtroom appearances. The story opens with a hilarious anecdote of Trump making seven million bucks in two days off his Atlanta mugshot.
Trump (R): “Trump warns: “lunatic” Biden might begin World Warfare III” [Infobrics]. TRUMP: “This man has no clue. He can’t put two sentences collectively, and he’s coping with Putin, and he’s coping with President Xi, and he’s coping with Kim Jong-un. All individuals I do know very nicely. We had been beneath no risk from anyone till this man bought in workplace. Now they’re speaking nuclear on a regular basis. We didn’t discuss nuclear…. You had been secure as a result of they revered your president, they usually revered the USA of America. And now you’re not secure. I’ll let you know we might find yourself in World Warfare III with this lunatic.” Fascinating to see Infobrics choosing up a FOX transcript. And on nuclear conflict: Is Trump mistaken? That mistaken?
Trump (R): “Trump Says States Ought to Chart Their Personal Path on Abortion” [Wall Street Journal]. “Former President Donald Trump stated abortion needs to be left to the states, avoiding taking a place on the variety of weeks at which the process needs to be banned as he tries to navigate a problem that has animated Democrats.
‘My view is now that now we have abortion the place everyone needed it from a authorized standpoint, the states will decide by vote or laws or maybe each. And no matter they resolve should be the regulation of the land,’ Trump stated Monday in a marketing campaign video. ‘Many states will likely be completely different…On the finish of the day, that is all in regards to the will of the individuals.’ Trump’s stance is unlikely to please spiritual conservatives who need him to embrace harder restrictions, and one outstanding group rapidly expressed its disappointment. And Democrats are sure to proceed accountable him for the 2022 Supreme Courtroom ruling that ended the constitutional proper to the process.” • In fact they’ll, however that’s solely as a result of they by no means take responsibillity for something (together with the composition of the Courtroom).
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Biden (D): “Biden Not Solely Purpose for Dems To Panic” [RealClearPolitics]. “What issues much more is that the Republican Celebration is exhibiting indicators of waking up from its lengthy uniparty slumber and recognizing that preventing again is one of the best ways to win an election. You noticed components of this renewed engagement final month when the brand new management of the GOP opted to companion with neighborhood activist Scott Presler to extend voter registration and authorized poll harvesting in battleground states. Presler, the co-founder of Gays for Trump, goes by the deal with #ThePersistence on social media, and his help for Donald Trump and MAGA has seen him journey tirelessly in pursuit of each authorized Republican vote he can discover. Final month, he was registering members of the Amish neighborhood in Pennsylvania. Good!… Grassroots Republicans, who see themselves turning into empowered by individuals like Presler and Kirk, and by the Precinct Technique program that’s taking management of the Republican Celebration away from the Outdated Guard. No surprise Democrats are panicking. In the event that they lose their higher hand in recruiting new voters, turning out the early vote and seizing each alternative to enhance their possibilities for victory in battleground states, then the electoral map might very probably remodel right into a landslide victory for Trump and the Republicans.”
Biden (D): “Decide calls out blatant double commonplace in the case of Biden’s Justice Division and Hunter” [Jonathan Turley, New York Post]. “The Home is within the midst of an impeachment inquiry that features allegations of affect over the Hunter investigation. Whereas insisting that there was no strain or particular dealing within the matter, the DOJ has blocked key sources of proof. That led to the Home subpoenas…. The one approach for the Home to research such corrupt particular dealings is to interview the precept actors, together with these two attorneys. In any other case, as Democratic members have completed, critics can insist that they don’t have any direct proof of wrongdoing…. [US District Judge Ana Reyes] famous the plain: “There’s an individual in jail proper now since you all introduced a legal lawsuit towards him as a result of he didn’t seem for a Home subpoena.” The DOJ demanded six months in jail. Navarro is serving a four-month sentence…. The Justice Division insisted that it’s completely different when its personal prosecutors refuse to testify and famous that the Home had additionally refused a requirement to produce other Justice Division legal professionals current for the depositions. They then careworn that the choice to defy the subpoena got here after prolonged deliberations ‘at a excessive degree.’” Like what? The Oval Workplace? Extra: “Reyes then requested if the DOJ would drop its opposition if it had been allowed to have DOJ legal professionals within the room for the questioning. When the legal professionals stated they might not reply that query presently, Reyes exclaimed, ‘Are you kidding me?’”
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Kennedy (I): “Robert F. Kennedy Jr. questions prosecutions for Jan. 6 assault, says he desires to listen to ‘each aspect’” [Associated Press]. “Unbiased presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in a prolonged assertion Friday steered that the prosecution of rioters who violently attacked the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, is perhaps politically motivated, partly aligning himself with the false portrayal being pushed by former President Donald Trump and his allies.” What on earth does “partly aligning” imply? Extra: “‘One can, as I do, oppose Donald Trump and all he stands for, and nonetheless be disturbed by the weaponization of presidency towards him,’ Kennedy stated.” • The gallows nonetheless making an look, I see.
Kennedy (I): “Spoiler alert: RFK Jr. embraces the chaos, has Democrats ‘paranoid’ he’ll price Biden” [Washington Examiner]. “‘Democrats are proper to take the third-party risk very critically. Donald Trump is overtly rooting for each No Labels and RFK to empty Democratic votes,’ stated Matt Bennett, the manager vp for public affairs at Third Method, a centrist Democratic group, in an announcement to the Washington Examiner. ‘He remembers how third events received simply sufficient votes in 2016 to permit him to seize the three Blue Wall states and the presidency. Democrats discovered the laborious approach how harmful third-party spoilers will be in a carefully divided voters and are mobilizing allies throughout the anti-Trump coalition to stop third events from serving to Trump win once more.”” • I don’t know the place this “Blue Wall” trope got here from. From the Labour Celebration’s “Pink Wall” within the UK? It’s a rotten metaphor. Precincts aren’t like partitions (until you’re a toddler enjoying Threat, or an armchair strategist working from a map).
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“Democrats spar over registration as worries over younger and minority voters develop” [WaPo]. Essential. “For many years, nonpartisan teams allied with the Democratic Celebration have run wide-ranging efforts geared toward rising voter registration amongst individuals of shade and younger individuals — teams that are likely to lean Democratic however have traditionally voted at decrease charges than older and White individuals. Lately, nonetheless, there was a marked shift among the many roughly 1 in 5 residents of voting age who’re unregistered towards Republicans, elevating contemporary questions on how a lot boosting nonpartisan voter registration might assist presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump heading into November. Aaron Strauss, an influential knowledge scientist who helps direct progressive spending on the agency OpenLabs, sparked non-public disagreements over this subject in January, when he despatched a couple of dozen main Democratic donors a confidential memo that challenged conventional nonpartisan registration. ‘Certainly, if we had been to blindly register nonvoters and get them on the rolls, we might be distinctly aiding Trump’s quest for a private dictatorship,” Strauss argued within the memo, which was obtained by The Washington Put up and cited latest polling that confirmed Trump’s power amongst unregistered voters. He additionally warned that efforts to achieve Democratic votes amongst youthful and non-Black individuals of shade had been typically costly — costing greater than $1,200 per internet vote in 2020, by one estimate — as a result of the teams now embody so many non-Democrats. Amongst voters of shade, he wrote that ‘solely African American registration is clearly a chief alternative,’ including that netting Democratic voters amongst Black individuals price roughly $575 per vote in 2020. He referred to as on donors to nonpartisan nonprofits to additionally donate to political teams that focus voter registration spending on ‘particular, closely pro-Biden populations’ like Black Individuals, whereas utilizing extra focused strategies amongst different teams to filter out probably Trump supporters.” • Heaving the NGOs over the aspect? Unthinkable!
“How Home Dems plan to make use of abortion poll initiatives on the marketing campaign path” [Politico]. “The DCCC is zeroing in on races in Arizona [swing], Colorado, Florida, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada [swing] and New York — all states that would have an abortion measure on the poll — with 18 races the place Democrats are enjoying protection or hope to flip GOP-held districts. The social gathering sees abortion as a possible swing-seat turnout booster, pointing to purple-district Rep. Sharice Davids’ (D-Kan.) 2022 win after an abortion referendum was on her state’s poll and elevated turnout in Ohio final cycle.”
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FL: “Florida Is (Hypothetically) Winnable for Biden and the Democrats” [Washington Monthly]. “The 62 % supermajority in favor of the abortion rights referendum, from a November ballot by the College of North Florida, is buoyed by 53 % help amongst Republicans. … Can abortion immediate a 3.4 proportion level shift within the presidential race and flip the state to Biden? The info from the 2022 midterms is uneven. Republican governors in Georgia and Texas had been re-elected in 2022 regardless of polls exhibiting opposition to their abortion bans. However abortion does seem to have helped speed up the bluing of Arizona, the place within the 2022 gubernatorial race, Democrat Katie Hobbs edged MAGA Republican Kari Lake by lower than some extent, following two double-digit victories by Republican Doug Ducey.”
FL: “Florida now not in play as a swing state as GOP voters surge over Dems by almost 900K: DeSantis” [FOX]. “Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis believes Democrats don’t stand an opportunity within the Sunshine State going ahead. This comes as studies point out registered GOP voters now outpace Democrats by almost 900,000. ‘You’re speaking a couple of million-plus voter registration shift,’ DeSantis advised Fox Information’ Maria Bartiromo, saying that older numbers indicated Republicans had been behind their Democrat adversaries by almost 300,000 registered voters in 2018.” • That’s a steep hill to climb…
NE: “Contained in the battle over Nebraska’s electoral school votes” [Semafor]. “Six months in the past, Nebraska Republican Celebration Chairman Eric Underwood pitched Ronna McDaniel on a easy concept that would assist the GOP win the presidency once more. Since 1991, Nebraska had cut up its electoral votes; two for the statewide winner, then three for the winner of every congressional district. Trump misplaced the Omaha-based 2nd district in 2020, and if the GOP misplaced it once more in 2024 — even when it flipped Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia — it might lose the presidency by a single vote. There was a invoice frozen within the state legislature that would change that, assigning all 5 electors to the statewide winner, if Republicans rescued it. Underwood’s query for the RNC chair and its authorized counsel was: Would the nationwide social gathering assist? ‘In essence, the response was: I’m a federal officer, this can be a state subject,’ Underwood recalled this week. ‘Thanks for the heads up, inform us the way it goes.’ The thought went nowhere till late Tuesday morning. Underwood bought a textual content from Tyler Bowyer, the chief working workplace of the conservative activist group Turning Level USA and an RNC committeeman from Arizona, who was one of many loudest voices within the profitable latest marketing campaign to oust McDaniel. Bowyer requested if the Nebraska legislature was nonetheless in session, and whether or not the ‘winner-take-all’ invoice might nonetheless be revived. Underwood stated that it might. Inside 36 hours, that plan was endorsed by Gov. Jim Pillen, Sen. Pete Ricketts, Donald Trump, and many of the GOP supermajority within the unicameral state senate.” • So sure, the Trump operation is competent. (The invoice hadn’t handed, but it surely appears to be like like Lara Trump can’t probably be worse than McDaniel.
OH: “Biden could also be lacking from Ohio’s normal election poll on account of key deadline subject, election official warns” [FOX]. “President Biden could fail to get on Ohio’s normal election poll after the state’s prime election official warned his marketing campaign about lacking a key deadline on Friday. Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose, a Republican, notified prime Democratic officers that their social gathering’s nationwide conference is scheduled to happen nicely previous the deadline for certifying a presidential candidate in Ohio. ‘The Democratic Nationwide Conference is scheduled to convene on August 19, 2024, which happens greater than every week after the August 7 deadline to certify a presidential candidate to the workplace,’ LaRose wrote to Ohio Democratic Celebration Chairwoman Liz Walters, in response to the letter first obtained by ABC Information. ‘I’m left to conclude that the Democratic Nationwide Committee should both transfer up its nominating conference or the Ohio Common Meeting should act by Could 9, 2024 (90 days previous to a brand new regulation’s efficient date) to create an exception to this statutory requirement,’ LaRose authorized counsel, Paul Disantis, wrote within the letter.” • Could 9 isn’t distant.
PA: “‘Now They’re Voting Pink’: A Pennsylvania Fracking Growth Weighs on Biden’s Re-Election Possibilities” [Wall Street Journal]. “Pittsburgh is on the heart of a category inversion between the 2 events that’s redefining American politics. Democrats have traded their former blue-collar base for professional-class, metropolitan employees, whereas Republicans have change into overwhelmingly depending on working-class voters concentrated in far-flung suburbs, small cities and rural areas…. In Pennsylvania, the biggest 2024 battleground state, President Biden’s victory 4 years in the past depended largely on large positive aspects amongst [the city’s heavily Democratic professional class]. However these positive aspects have been overtaken by opposition from voters like Sabo, who works within the natural-gas trade, a sector that has given a lift to blue-collar employees in rural counties. These energy-economy voters see Biden as hostile to fracking, which faucets pure gasoline trapped in sedimentary rock deep underground. The sector has drawn billions of {dollars} in new funding in Pennsylvania, a lot of it within the state’s southwest nook. Biden has been notably damage by his determination to cancel the Keystone XL oil pipeline, which native firms say minimize into demand for his or her providers; and his order this yr to pause new permits to export liquefied pure gasoline, which might deprive drillers of recent markets. Many of those voters additionally imagine the president’s push for Individuals to undertake electrical autos will undercut jobs tied to fossil fuels.” And: “There’s little signal that Biden can regain substantial help in seven largely working-class and rural counties that encompass [Pittsburgh], each considered one of which produced a bigger vote margin for Trump in 2020 than in 2016. The resistance to Biden’s power insurance policies is making it tougher for the incumbent to cease his social gathering’s decline amongst noncollege voters there, forcing the social gathering to wring extra votes out of a Democratic base elsewhere that, to date, appears dispirited.”
Democrats en Déshabillé
“Man Arrested for Setting Hearth at Bernie Sanders’ Workplace. Motive Stays Unclear” [Time]. “Shant Soghomonian, 35, who was beforehand of Northridge, California, entered the constructing on Friday and went to Sanders’ third-floor workplace the place safety video confirmed him spraying a liquid on the door and setting it afire, officers stated. The constructing’s inside suffered some harm from the hearth and sprinklers that doused the realm with water, however nobody was damage. Sanders, an unbiased, was not within the workplace on the time. Soghomonian was arrested Sunday on a cost of utilizing hearth to wreck a constructing utilized in interstate commerce, in response to an announcement from Nikolas Kerest, the U.S. legal professional for Vermont. The motive remained unclear.” • What a bizarre cost. Anyhow, submitting this beneath “Democrats en Déshabillé” for causes which can be, at this level, apparent….
Realignment and Legitimacy
“Batya Ungar-Sargon: Class, Not Race, Is the Dividing Line in American Politics” [RealClearPolitics]. “Batya Ungar-Sargon, the deputy editor of Newsweek and writer of the brand new ebook, Second Class: How the Elites Betrayed America’s Working Males and Ladies, speaks with RCP Washington bureau chief Carl Cannon on Thursday’s version of the RealClearPolitics radio present”:
“Folks don’t discuss it like it’s an outrage,” [Ungar-Sargon] stated in regards to the transformation of the Democratic Celebration into one thing aside from a celebration for the working class. “It’s such a fait accompli at this level that we overlook that it’s outrageous for a celebration that used to characterize labor, the little man towards large companies and the wealthy, utterly deserted that constituency to cater to an over-credentialed school elite on one hand, and the dependent poor on the opposite. And it’s double outrageous as a result of that social gathering nonetheless masquerades because the social gathering of the little man, though it’s not the case anymore.”
Carl Cannon requested: “Do they actually hate the working class, or are they simply of their politically right bubble and don’t see what they’re doing?”
“They can’t stand the concept that they’ll lose, even when they lose in a really clearly democratic approach,” Ungar-Sargon stated. “They’re very comfy after they can sit there on cable information making thousands and thousands of {dollars} to sneer on the working class. They’re comfy when the working class can’t clap again.”
“This was actually Obama’s revolution, the concept that the ‘sensible set’ ought to run issues. We must always have an oligarchy of the credentialed. However when the working class has their audacity to vote in their very own curiosity and clap again by placing anyone like Donald Trump in energy, that sneering contempt turns to hate.”
Properly, sure, the Democrats actually do hate the working class; see Thomas Frank, Pay attention, Libera! (that’s, do your studying, Batya!). Nevertheless, it’s not solely the working class that voted for Trump; loads of native gentry voted for Trump as nicely. Additional, even when that is my form of pink meat, let’s be clear that no person’s speaking about empowering the working class, as a category, actually not Trump.
Pandemics
“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
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Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the deal with given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
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Airborne Transmission: Covid
“Proof from Complete Genome Sequencing of Aerosol Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 nearly 5 Hours after Hospital Room Turnover” (summary solely) [American Journal of Infection Control]. ” Complete genome sequencing throughout an outbreak steered in-room transmission of SARS-CoV-2 to 2 sufferers admitted almost 2 and 5 hours, respectively, after discharge of an asymptomatic contaminated affected person. These findings counsel that airborne SARS-CoV-2 could transmit an infection for over 4 hours, even in a hospital setting.” • Yo, HICPAC. Are you listening? MR SUBLIMINAL Lol no
“Investigation of a superspreading occasion previous the biggest meat processing plant-related SARS-Coronavirus 2 outbreak in Germany” [SSRN]. 2020, missed it on the time. From the Summary: “Transmissions occurred in a confined space of a meat processing plant by which air is consistently re-circulated and cooled to 10°C. Index case B1 transmitted the virus to co-workers in a radius of greater than 8 meters throughout work-shifts on 3 consecutive days…. Our outcomes point out local weather circumstances and airflow as elements that may promote environment friendly unfold of SARS-CoV-2 through distances of greater than 8 meters and supply insights into doable necessities for pandemic mitigation methods in industrial office settings.” • Like CAFOs?
Immune Dysregulation
“CDC Monitoring “Harmful” Bacterial An infection Spreading in New York” [WIBX]. “The New York State Division of Well being is monitoring the unfold of the “Neisseria meningitidis” micro organism. This virulent pressure is extremely invasive and might result in dying if left untreated. Neisseria meningitidis causes meningococcal illness in addition to a severe blood an infection referred to as meningococcal septicemia. This micro organism can be able to inflicting meningococcal meningitis as soon as it infects the linings of the mind and spinal wire. If this sounds alarming, that’s as a result of it’s. This micro organism is thought to strike rapidly and trigger severe well being issues and even dying inside days.” • CDC says it’s not airborne, luckily (not unfold by respiration).
Transmission: H5N1
Vector transmission from @LazarusLong13:
“Detection of H5N1 Avian Influenza Virus from Mosquitoes Collected in an Contaminated Poultry Farm in Thailand” (PDF) [Vector-Borne And Zoonotic Diseases]. From 2008.
Blood-engorged mosquitoes had been collected at poultry farms throughout an outbreak of extremely pathogenic avian influenza in Central Thailand throughout October 2005. These mosquitoes examined constructive for H5N1 virus by reverse transcription-polymerase chain response (RT-PCR). Outcomes had been confirmed by restricted sequencing of the H5 and
N1 segments. An infection and replication of this virus within the C6/36 mosquito cell line was confirmed by quantitative real-time PCR. Nevertheless, transmission by mosquitoes was not evaluated, and additional analysis is required.” • One thing to ponder.
“The potential of home flies to behave as a vector of avian influenza subtype H5N1 beneath experimental circumstances” [Medical and Veterinary Entomology]. From the Summary: “The current research reveals that the flies could harbour the [avian influenza (AI) H5N1] virus and will act as a mechanical vector of the AI virus.”
Sequelae: Covid
“COVID-19 and Its Ophthalmic Manifestations: A Literature Overview” [Cureus]. “The most typical ocular manifestations which were famous are episcleritis and keratoconjunctivitis and irritation of the sclera and conjunctiva of the attention, respectively. A research carried out by Zhou et al. [10] examined postmortem eyes and surgical specimens of COVID-19-positive sufferers. Immunohistochemical assays had been carried out on every pattern, revealing angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptors are expressed within the conjunctiva, cornea, and limbus floor of the attention. The findings offered on this paper emphasize the significance of the attention as a reservoir for COVID-19 and the way transmission can happen with out correct eye and hand care [10, 11]. The ACE 2 receptor is utilized by the virus to enter cells [12, 13]. One other research confirmed neuropathic corneal ache as a debilitating manifestation of the long-COVID syndrome [14].” • I don’t suppose this supply is all that nice, but it surely shouldn’t be that tough to do a literature assessment, and in any case I can’t discover KLG trashing them.
Elite Maleficence
WHO promotes dishevelled blues [bangs head on desk]:
When you could have doubts about air flow in enclosed areas, #WearAMask to assist defend your self and others from COVID-19, flu and different respiratory diseases. #StaySafe pic.twitter.com/w3k7x0eLyH
— World Well being Group (WHO) Western Pacific (@WHOWPRO) April 8, 2024
“Federal Decide Hits CDC Over Withholding Information on Antagonistic Vaccine Studies” [Jonathan Turley]. “The Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention (CDC) continues to withstand disclosing info on claimed negative effects and issues with its COVID-19 vaccines, together with from healthcare employees. Resulting from a January order by U.S. District Decide Matthew Kacsmaryk in a Freedom of Info Act case, the CDC is being compelled to show over a whole lot of 1000’s of “free textual content” entries from V-safe. The courtroom has scolded the CDC for its persevering with efforts to withhold info on these complaints…. For a yr, the CDC has been preventing these efforts. The lawsuit by the Knowledgeable Consent Motion Community, revealed ‘almost 8% of V-safe customers stated they required medical care, one other 12% couldn’t carry out regular day by day actions and yet one more 13% stated they missed work or college.’ With restricted ‘containers’ equipped by the CDC, individuals needed to write of their issues. The CDC then did not disclose these studies. The free-text entries reportedly help one of the crucial controversial strikes by the CDC to downplay coronary heart issues. Litigants say that the brand new disclosures present a frequency of signs related to myocarditis – irritation of the the guts muscle myocardium.”
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TABLE 1: Day by day Covid Charts
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new at the moment; all others aren’t up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (Biobot) Our curve has now flattened out at a degree far above valleys beneath Trump. Not a terrific victory. Be aware additionally the realm “beneath the curve,” apart from peaks. That space is bigger beneath Biden than beneath Trump, and it appears to be rising steadily if inconsistently.
[2] (Biobot) No backward revisons….
[3] (CDC Variants) As of Could 11, genomic surveillance knowledge will likely be reported biweekly, primarily based on the provision of constructive take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice every week; semiweekly.” Appears like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
[4] (ER) CDC appears to have killed this off, because the hyperlink is damaged, I believe in favor of this factor. I’ll attempt to verify. UPDATE Sure, depart it to CDC to kill a web page, after which announce it was archived a day later. And heaven forfend CDC ought to clarify the place to go to get equal knowledge, if any. I favored the ER knowledge, as a result of it appeared actually laborious to recreation…
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Appears like a really gradual leveling off to a non-zero baseline, to me.
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC) Nonetheless down. “Maps, charts, and knowledge offered by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Check Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”.
[7] (Walgreens) Leveling out.
[8] (Cleveland) Flattening.
[9] (Vacationers: Posivitity) Now up, albeit within the rear view mirror.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants) JN.1 dominates totally.
[11] Appears just like the Instances isn’t reporting dying knowledge any extra? Possibly I want to return to The Economist:
The pandemic’s true dying toll is 4x the formally reported quantity. 28.2 million lifeless. The magnitude of this human tragedy is troublesome to understand. A lot of this carnage was preventable however for the laissez faire angle of our leaders. https://t.co/asiTYR8YvT
— Dr. Dick Zoutman (@DickZoutman) February 1, 2024
Stats Watch
There are not any statistics of curiosity at the moment.
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Right this moment’s Concern & Greed Index: 64 Greed (earlier shut: 61 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 67 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Apr 8 at 1:47:15 PM ET.
Rapture Index: Closes up two (!) on Earthquakes and Plagues. “The strongest quake in 25 years hit Taiwan” and “CDC says bacterial an infection instances are rising” [Rapture Ready]. Document Excessive, October 10, 2016: 189. Present: 187. (Keep in mind that bringing on the Rapture is nice.) • Hen flu not a priority?
The Gallery
Up to date:
Si van Gogh hubiera tenido celular… pic.twitter.com/M8vkzeFZGp
— El Membership del Arte 🎨📷📚🖼🕍🎼 (@Arteymas_) April 8, 2024
Zeitgeist Watch
“Two weeks after raid on Diddy’s properties, it’s quiet on the information entrance” [WaPo]. “Two weeks in the past, federal brokers raided Sean “Diddy” Combs’s mansions in Miami and Los Angeles, trying to find proof tied to a sex-trafficking investigation. The stunning headlines prompted a wave of hypothesis that Combs, one of the crucial highly effective producers within the music trade, may quickly be arrested in connection to any of 5 latest lawsuits accusing him of sexual assault. He has denied the entire accusations.
However since then, there was no arrest and few, if any, revelations for tabloids.” • One can solely surprise why–
“Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs’ Former Bodyguard Claims Music Mogul Had Tapes of ‘Politicians’ and ‘Princes’” [Modernity]. “The previous bodyguard of Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs’ claims the music mogul had blackmail tapes of politicians, princes and different outstanding people who had been concerned in his intercourse events. Gene Deal, who was current the evening when Infamous B.I.G. was fatally shot in 1997, made the sensational feedback throughout an interview with ‘The Artwork of Dialogue’ YouTube channel. ‘I don’t suppose it’s solely celebrities gonna be shook. He had politicians in there, he had princes in there. He additionally had a few preachers in there,’ stated Deal. ‘Are you able to think about, he had each room bugged,’ he added. When requested why Combs’ media division had stayed silent on the allegations towards him, Deal responded, ‘Both they took half in among the stuff that occurred, or they’re scared that it could mess up their model.’ Fox Information host Jesse Watters speculated that the tapes, in the event that they exist, are actually within the palms of the feds and ‘that’s numerous blackmail.’” • Certainly. “I might say that our Mr. Swain has lately come into possession of a really high-grade supply of intelligence and is busy changing it into energy. ” –William Gibson, Mona Lisa Overdrive>
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Fascinating query:
The dying of Grownup nightlife is one other bizarre factor.
My grandparents gave/attended cocktail events that went till the wee hours till not less than their 60s.
Nightclubs had been additionally a factor for adults.
Now American nightlife is lame and tends to finish in a single’s 30s, if not earlier than. https://t.co/eRNylQucFJ pic.twitter.com/ztao3m2B2B
— VB Knives (@Empty_America) April 4, 2024
Sure, I bear in mind my mother and father doing this; cocktails, and so forth. When did these customs die out? When “social gathering” grew to become a verb?
Class Warfare
“Folks quasi-randomly assigned to farm rice are extra collectivistic than individuals assigned to farm wheat” [Nature]. The Cultural Revolution as a pure experiment (!): “The rice idea of tradition argues that the excessive labor calls for and interdependent irrigation networks of paddy rice farming makes cultures extra collectivistic than wheat-farming cultures. Regardless of prior proof, proving causality is troublesome as a result of persons are not randomly assigned to farm rice. On this research, we make the most of a novel time when the Chinese language authorities quasi-randomly assigned individuals to farm rice or wheat in two state farms which can be in any other case almost similar. The rice farmers present much less individualism, extra loyalty/nepotism towards a good friend over a stranger, and extra relational thought fashion. These outcomes rule out confounds in exams of the rice idea, akin to temperature, latitude, and historic occasions. The variations counsel rice-wheat cultural variations can type in a single era.” • Fascinating! By way of Marginal Revolution, who commented:
It’s lengthy been argued [by, say, The Bearded One] that the means [and mode] of manufacturing affect social, cultural and psychological processes. Rice farming, for instance, requires complicated irrigation techniques beneath communal administration and intense, coordinated labor. Thus, it has been argued that profitable rice farming communities are likely to develop individuals with collectivist orientations, and cultural methods of pondering that emphasize group concord and interdependence. In distinction, wheat farming, which requires much less labor and coordination is related to extra individualistic cultures that worth independence and private autonomy. Implicit in Turner’s Frontier speculation, for instance, is the concept that not solely might a younger man say ‘take this job and shove it’ and go west however as soon as there they might set up a small, viable wheat farm (or different dry crop).
Information of the Wired
I’m not feeling wired at the moment.
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Contact info for vegetation: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a test if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me pictures of vegetation. Greens are tremendous! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you need your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it initially of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From TH:
TH writes: “That is the Cactus Backyard on the Sherman Library and Gardens in Corona Del Mar. It’s bought fairly a spread and a few reasonably massive specimens. The Spanish structure works particularly nicely with this part of the gardens.” That bench within the shade makes me need to go and sit down….
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Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not lined by the annual NC fundraiser. So for those who see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see anyplace else, please don’t hesitate to precise your appreciation in tangible type. Bear in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common constructive suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. After I get no donations for 3 or 4 days I get nervous. Extra tangibly, a relentless trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I consider that trickle when setting fundraising targets:
Right here is the display that may seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
In the event you hate PayPal, you’ll be able to e-mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I provides you with instructions on tips on how to ship a test. Thanks!
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