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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Chook Track of the Day
Frequent Home-Martin (Western), Blåvand Fuglestation, Area Syddanmark, Denmark: “Flight calls, nest chatter. Seen. In and across the nests two days after arrival from wintering grounds.”
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Politics
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in actual fact a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
2024
I assume it’s time for the Countdown Clock!
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“Ron DeSantis decries public defecation, crack smoking throughout San Francisco stroll” [New York Post]. • Let it by no means be mentioned of Ron DeSantis that he lacks political braveness!
“Glenn Youngkin’s Opening in Virginia” [Wall Street Journal]. “Virginia’s off-year elections are repeatedly value watching as a political harbinger, however this yr’s might be a triple whammy. Past displaying how the citizens is trending, November’s outcomes might give the GOP full management of Richmond, and so they may even—though it’s a giant possibly—slingshot Gov. Glenn Youngkin into the 2024 presidential race…. Maybe just a few GOP candidates in iffy races can trip Mr. Youngkin’s coattails over the end line. A ballot this month by Roanoke Faculty put his approval at 51%, down from 57% in February. These are good figures for a Republican Governor in a purple state stuffed with the suburbanites who fled the GOP amid the Trump years. If Mr. Youngkin can take again Richmond and cross just a few good payments, who is aware of what he may do in 2024.”
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502 days is a very long time in politics:
NATIONAL POLL
2024 Democratic Presidential Major @JoeBiden 73%@RobertKennedyJr 15%@marwilliamson 3percentAnother person 10percenthttps://t.co/R8yz0UlxWJ pic.twitter.com/ZsQTW8KbAm— Emerson Faculty Polling (@EmersonPolling) June 22, 2023
One shouldn’t underestimate Biden’s viciousness and lust for energy, or that of his supporters. However for a sitting President with — supposedly — a stellar file, and the unanimous backing of his celebration (modulo Joe Manchin, that creep) Biden’s assist feels delicate, to me. RFK + Williamson, 18%? Actually? And leaving apart the financial system (cardboard field gross sales are down, a great proxy for hassle to come back), a Ukraine debacle even when he can gin up battle with China in time, liberal’s odd fancies about intercourse and gender, and a tough core of Covid acutely aware who may simply keep house, what occurs if he slips a cog?
“DOJ, FBI, IRS interfered with Hunter Biden probe, based on whistleblower testimony launched by GOP” [FOX]. “The Home Methods and Means Committee on Thursday launched testimony from two IRS whistleblowers who mentioned the Justice Division, FBI and IRS interfered with the investigation of the tax evasion case in opposition to Hunter Biden…. Based on testimony launched by the committee, one whistleblower, IRS Felony Supervisory Particular Agent Gary Shapley Jr., mentioned choices within the case appeared to be ‘influenced by politics.’ ‘Regardless of the motivations, at each stage choices have been made that had the impact of benefiting the topic of the investigation,’ Shapley mentioned. ‘These choices included slow-walking investigative steps, now permitting enforcement actions to be executed, limiting investigators’ line of questioning for witnesses, deceptive investigators on charging authority, delaying any and all actions months earlier than elections to make sure the investigation didn’t go overt nicely earlier than coverage memorandum mandated the pause. These are simply just a few examples,’ he added…. Shapley, who oversaw the IRS probe into the president’s son, mentioned the IRS obtained a WhatsApp message dated July thirtieth, 2017, from Hunter Biden to Henry Zhao, who the New York Submit beforehand reported is a Chinese language Communist Social gathering official and CEO of Harvest Fund Administration. ‘I’m sitting right here with my father and we wish to perceive why the dedication made has not been fulfilled. Inform the director that I wish to resolve this now earlier than it will get out of hand, and now means tonight’ Biden wrote. ‘And, Z, if I get a name or textual content from anybody concerned on this apart from you, Zhang, or the chairman, I’ll make sure that between the person sitting subsequent to me and each individual he is aware of and my capacity to without end maintain a grudge that you’ll remorse not following my path. I’m sitting right here ready for the decision with my father.’ Shapley testified that communications like that message ‘made it clear we wanted to look the visitor home on the Bidens’ Delaware residence the place Hunter Biden stayed for a time.’ Nonetheless, Shapley testified that Assistant United States Legal professional in Delaware, Lesley Wolf, advised him “optics have been a driving issue within the choice on whether or not to execute a search warrant.’” • Ah nicely, nonetheless…
“‘Again Off Joe Biden!’ MSNBC Analyst Loses It At Home Republicans Outraged Over Hunter Biden Plea Deal” [Mediaite]. “‘And by the best way, everyone must again off Joe Biden about this. He loves his son. Again off! It’s okay for him to like his son and there’s nothing unsuitable with it,’ [MSNBC political analyst Claire McCaskill] concluded. ;They don’t have any proof of any sort of wrongdoing by Joe Biden. And it infuriates me that they’re utilizing this heartbreak in opposition to Joe Biden on this means. It’s simply not proper.” • Gad.
“Typography 2024: For America! For America’s Greatest” [Practical Photography]. “Biden’s reelection web site is essentially a step down from his excellent 2020 effort. The fonts have been upgraded to the wonderful Decimal and the Caslon-inspired Body. In any other case, nevertheless, it’s simply bizarre: the cream-colored background, the Mortal Kombat-inspired tagline end the job, the scribbles on the web page purporting to be Joe’s handwriting, and new wavy stripes within the Biden wordmark paying homage to Andrew Yang’s baconesque 2020 brand. A quintessential instance of what occurs in design initiatives when a big price range is handed over to a big committee: by making an attempt to be every little thing to everybody, it avoids being something to anybody.” • Enjoyable learn. Right here is the Biden web site:
Sure, when you see the bacon you’ll be able to’t unsee it.
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“Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s presidential run will get assist from Wall Road veteran Omeed Malik” [CNBC]. “Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the anti-vaccine activist who’s now working for president, has one other rich backer in his nook: veteran Wall Road government Omeed Malik. Final month, Malik took Kennedy to a swanky personal dinner on the Bellagio in Las Vegas to rub elbows with an array of political energy gamers, based on individuals aware of the matter. Attendees on the dinner, which coincided with the SCALE World Enterprise Summit, included former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, former Trump financial advisor Gary Cohn, former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, ex-UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers and Democratic megadonor Marc Lasry, the individuals mentioned. Whereas these individuals mentioned Kennedy didn’t pitch himself as a candidate, his attendance on the dinner represents one other strategy to beef up his presence within the political dialog regardless of having publicly pushed quite a few conspiracy theories, together with debunked takes on vaccines. The individuals declined to be named to with a purpose to discuss personal deliberations and conversations. The election was nonetheless on attendees’ minds on the dinner. An individual aware of the matter mentioned there have been some, together with Clinton, who prompt that President Joe Biden’s age might be a hurdle that he’ll have to shrug off to voters. Clinton additionally cheered on Biden’s tenure as president, one other individual mentioned.” • Wait. “Shrug off” a “hurdle”? Did an AI write this?
“RFK Jr., Talking in New Hampshire, Payments Himself because the Peace Candidate” [New York Sun]. “In a speech in New Hampshire Tuesday evening, Mr. Kennedy referred to as for a diplomatic answer to the conflict in Ukraine and an finish to navy adventures overseas. He peppered his speech with anecdotes and quotations from his late uncle, President John F. Kennedy, to border his requires peace as a continuation of President Kennedy’s insurance policies…. ‘Each empire ends itself via over enlargement of its navy overseas,’ Mr. Kennedy mentioned. ‘I subsequently name on our current management to undertake President Kennedy’s maxims and begin de-escalating now.’ ‘We’ve turn out to be hooked on comedian e book good-versus-evil narratives that erase complexity and blind us to the authentic motives and bonafide cultural and financial considerations, and the authentic safety considerations of different peoples and different nations,’ Mr. Kennedy mentioned.” • The article contains this photograph from RFK’s marketing campaign launch, April 19, 2023 at Boston, Massachusetts:
Kennedy’s advance group managed to get a gaggle of photogenic and correctly various individuals into the background of this shot. So apparently his marketing campaign is professionally run (a great signal, if you happen to’re into victory in electoral politics).
“Jill Stein enlisted to assist construct Cornel West’s third-party presidential marketing campaign” [CNN]. “‘She helps him transition to the Inexperienced Social gathering as he’s constructing his group,’ a supply near each West and Stein mentioned Thursday. On Wednesday evening, Stein described herself because the nascent marketing campaign’s ‘interim coordinator’ in an interview with Bloomberg Information…. West, a outstanding surrogate for Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders throughout his two presidential campaigns, introduced his personal plans to run as a candidate with the little-known Folks’s Social gathering in a video earlier this month. However he rapidly broke off from that group, which has restricted infrastructure and considerations about poll entry, to affix the Greens and search their nomination. ‘On the subject of infrastructure and establishment, it’s a lot broader and deeper. Entry to the poll, a lot broader,’ West mentioned on the ‘The Katie Halper Present‘ earlier this month. ‘However in the long run, as you recognize, any candidacy to run the empire, with a purpose to dismantle the empire, must be a part of a motion.’” • This speaks nicely of Stein.
“Pritzker rapidly wields expanded authority to freeze noncitizen well being care enrollment” [The Dispatch]. “Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s administration wasted no time final week in exercising new authority granted by lawmakers to restrict the variety of enrollees in a pair of state-funded well being care packages for low-income noncitizens. In a transfer that drew intense backlash from immigrant rights advocates, Pritzker on Friday signed Home Invoice 1298 then instantly filed emergency guidelines licensed by the regulation to “briefly” pause enrollment within the Well being Advantages for Immigrant Adults program as of July 1. That state-funded program serves people aged 42 to 64 years who could be eligible for Medicaid advantages based mostly on revenue ranges however not their citizenship standing. An analogous program serving noncitizens age 65 and older, often called Well being Advantages for Immigrant Seniors, will stay open until enrollment reaches 16,500, at which period it would even be paused. ”
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“State lawmakers be a part of forces with the Ahead Social gathering” [City & State Pennsylvania]. “Andrew Yang’s newly established Ahead Social gathering is taking root in Pennsylvania. And based mostly on the reception the 2020 Democratic presidential candidate acquired from state lawmakers within the Pennsylvania Basic Meeting on Wednesday, there appears to be no less than some urge for food for brand spanking new political options in Harrisburg. Longtime Democratic state Sens. Lisa Boscola and Anthony H. Williams each introduced their affiliation with the Ahead Social gathering – and whereas the 2 will stay registered Democrats, each expressed frustration with the tribalism within the nation’s politics basically and the chamber’s particularly, and made the case for a collaborative, reform-minded strategy to governing. ‘We’re right here as we speak as a result of, one, we see the sides creeping into the principle of our politics,’ Williams mentioned, noting that his voting file can, at instances, stray from that of his personal celebration. ‘I refuse to be bullied or intimidated by an ideology that, frankly, doesn’t symbolize the pursuits of my individuals.’”
“A No Labels candidate would possible throw the election to Trump” [Al From and Craig Fuller, WaPo]. “We agree on three factors: (1) In a head-to-head general-election contest, Trump faces the identical challenges to successful the favored vote as he has up to now, maybe worse; (2) a reasonable impartial third-party candidate on the poll offers Trump the absolute best probability of successful reelection; and (3) with Trump saying he’ll search reelection even when he’s convicted of crimes, we will’t simply hope that this menace will go away.” • The bios say all of it: “Al From, founding father of the Democratic Management Council and creator of “The New Democrats and the Return to Energy,” is an adjunct professor of graduate research in authorities at Johns Hopkins College. Craig Fuller is a longtime Republican strategist and served as assistant to President Ronald Reagan for Cupboard affairs and chief of workers to Vice President George H.W. Bush.” These two labored as laborious as anybody to create the situations that made Trump who he’s as we speak.
Spook Nation
Life is unfair:
It will likely be very troublesome for anybody to say the 2024 election marketing campaign is truthful, since no less than two of the candidates (RFK and Trump) have been topic to intensive censorship and “visibility filtering,” and a 3rd, Cornel West, represents a celebration that’s been denylisted. https://t.co/KmuHEDI9c6— Matt Taibbi (@mtaibbi) June 20, 2023
Democrats en Déshabillé
Affected person readers, plainly individuals are truly studying the back-dated submit! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are numerous updates. So I should do this. –lambert
I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Social gathering (“the Democrat Social gathering is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated submit, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “reside” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Social gathering is, in actual fact, a tough drawback. I do suppose the paragraph that follows is on level all the best way again to 2016, if not earlier than:
The Democrat Social gathering is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). It follows that the Democrat Social gathering is as “unreformable” because the PMC is unreformable; if the Democrat Social gathering didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. If the Democrat Social gathering fails to manipulate, that’s as a result of the PMC lacks the potential to manipulate. (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” in fact.) Second, all of the working components of the Social gathering reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between parts of the Social gathering (ka-ching, however not completely) these parts comprise a community — a Flex Internet? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with belongings within the press and the intelligence group.
Observe, in fact, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different courses; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.
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Realignment and Legitimacy
#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort.
Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (9), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (5), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep protected on the market!
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Search for the Helpers
14,000 members actually leaves room for enlargement:
https://t.co/ouWAbXcrlM has 14,000 members.
Many will not be conscious of the chance to succeed in out to others who’re nonetheless taking precautions, and that it has teams and a listing of safer companies. pic.twitter.com/ELuMQM7tPa— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) June 14, 2023
You may at all times begin a Meetup in your space, if you’re so inclined. IIRC, Meetup web site isn’t horrid to run or use. Meetups actually labored nicely for the Howard Dean marketing campaign, again within the day!
Maskstravaganza
Slowly, the tide turns (1):
Me: “Covid. Covid remains to be rampant”Him: “What? However on television, everybody says that it’s over!”Me: “They’re mendacity”Him: “Perhaps I ought to begin sporting mine once more…”— Kara McNair. #BringBackMasks 🦀 🌊🐠💉😷 (@karamcnair) June 15, 2023
Slowly, the tide turns (2):
Speaking to masker quantity 3 (of three) at work. She mentioned when she will get requested when she’ll cease she appears like saying “do not ask me. It is less than me. You are the one spreading it round. How lengthy do you suppose I am going to should?” I’ve by no means actually recognized her. I feel we’ll hit it off. 😊— Gita Salinger ⚜️ 🇨🇦 ✡️ (@SalingerGita) June 13, 2023
Onerous core!
“Masks mirroring” isn’t patient-centered care:
Censorship and Propaganda
“Why are a few of us affected by lockdown amnesia?” [Financial Times]. “In a survey carried out this week by market analysis agency Prolific, shared with the Monetary Instances, 1 / 4 of a consultant pattern of just about 1,000 respondents mentioned they solely have “a imprecise reminiscence” of how they spent their time throughout lockdown. A examine revealed final month, in the meantime, within the science journal PLOS One, discovered that individuals, who have been surveyed in Might 2022, have been simply as dangerous at recalling the timeline of main information occasions from 2021 as they have been for occasions that had occurred three or 4 years earlier. Lockdowns, the researchers concluded, had an analogous impact on our reminiscence to that which has been noticed in individuals who have served time in jail — our capacity to remember distinct factors throughout that interval has been impaired… Arash Sahraie, lead creator of the examine and professor of psychology on the College of Aberdeen, tells me that monotony is partly guilty… Stress and unhappiness most likely contributed too…. The commonality of the lockdown expertise, in different phrases, is exacerbating our collective amnesia.” • Blah blah blah, blather blather blather. The creator doesn’t even take into account the concept that reminiscence issues are a physiological impact of Covid an infection! All we get is potted psychologizing. (That is additionally yet one more instance of Covid optimizing situations for its personal replica.)
“Center schoolers’ studying and math scores plummet” [Axios]. “American college students’ check scores in math and studying obtained considerably worse final yr — persevering with a decade-long freefall. The decline in math scores final yr was the largest up to now 50 years, based on newly launched federal knowledge…. Studying and math scores of elementary college college students additionally plummeted, demonstrating the far-reaching results of training modifications through the pandemic.” • Blah blah blah, blather blather blather. As soon as once more, no consideration given to the attainable results of Covid itself. It’s teh lockdowns!
Testing and Monitoring
Denial is the universally most popular technique:
There was one other compact CO2 sensor introduced just a few years in the past. I wrote to them to let me know when it was produced or of they wished assist getting scaled manufacturing funded. However, nothing…— Jeff Smith on Air Air pollution (BreatheLife2030.org) (@jksmith34) November 13, 2020
Scientific Communication
“Scientists shouldn’t debate gaslighters” [Science]. “Hucksters like RFK Jr are expert at flooding the zone with rubbish. Kennedy lately advised Rogan that Wi-Fi might open the blood-brain barrier and trigger most cancers. Absurd statements like this are a lure for scientists. A scientist desires to elucidate how conservation of vitality works and why Kennedy’s assertion violates nearly each precept there’s in chemistry and physics. This strategy units up two large issues. First, it offers RFK’s rubbish equal footing with rules which were established by centuries of science. The second is that to a lay listener, the scientist simply comes off as becoming the stereotype of a nitpicking nerd and RFK seems to be like a strong communicator. Hotez debating RFK about vaccines would produce the identical outcome. I’ve fallen into this lure just a few instances myself. I went to the Heterodox Academy to be on a panel that additionally included the conservative pundits Richard Lowry and Batya Ungar-Sargon, who rattled off all types of misinformation about COVID-19. Every factor they mentioned would have taken quarter-hour to refute based mostly on the proof. So, I picked one and did the perfect I might. (BTW, they have been each gracious individuals and really cordial within the inexperienced room.) However my information of the proof and burning want to quote all of it was no match for his or her rhetorical abilities. When scientists refuse these ‘debates,’ the opposite aspect will get the chance to say that they’re turning them down for worry of being challenged. The opposition can declare to be ‘simply asking questions,’ though they don’t care concerning the solutions. However these reactions are preferable to giving them a platform.” • tl;dr: By no means sh*t a sh*tter. Truthful sufficient. However who then?
Transmission
“Survey finds 8% Omicron-positivity fee after medical assembly” [CIDRAP]. “Of attendees on the in-person 2022 German Society of Ophthalmology assembly who accomplished a survey 3 weeks later, 8% reported testing optimistic for COVID-19, based on a analysis letter revealed yesterday in JAMA Community Open. A group led by Saarland College Medical Middle researchers despatched on-line surveys to attendees of the assembly, which passed off through the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant wave. Held in Berlin, the convention was the primary face-to-face assembly in 3 years as a result of pandemic. An infection-prevention measures akin to COVID-19 testing, confirmed vaccination, and masks sporting weren’t required.” • PMC wholly dedicated to the bit. Globally. However I guess they noticed plenty of smiles!
An infection
For many who need their youngsters to get sick to toughen up their immune methods:
Sequelae
“VUMC researchers examine long run neurological impacts of COVID” [Newschannel5]. Nashville. ” It’s one thing Dr. James Jackson sees day by day. ‘It’s way over a fog,’ he mentioned. ‘It’s actually disruptive functionally, it’s impairing and it’s disabling.’ Dr. Jackson is the Director of Behavioral Well being at Vanderbilt College Medical Middle’s ICU Restoration Middle. He’s learning why some lengthy COVID sufferers wrestle with their reminiscence. He works with a whole bunch of lengthy COVID sufferers. A lot of them exhibit comparable signs. ‘It’s placing metallic within the microwave, it’s backing into automobiles within the parking zone, it’s stopping at inexperienced lights, driving via pink lights,’ Jackson mentioned.” A number of anecdotal knowledge right here. Extra: “Jackson mentioned lengthy COVID could have accelerated dementia signs in older sufferers. In youthful ones, he’s seen indicators of ABI, or ‘acquired mind harm’. ‘When you will have an ABI there’s no exterior mover, there’s not traumatic occasion that occurs,’ Jackson mentioned. ‘There are medical, inner, organic processes at work — not getting sufficient oxygen, creating delirium, having one thing we name neuroinflammation.’” • “Acquired mind harm” (ABI) is in actual fact an actual time period of artwork (and never invented by some minimizing charlatan).
Prevention
Private Far-UVC units one other layer however not an alternative to masks:
Extra proof that non-public moveable low-power (3w) Far-UVC cannot inactivate aerosolized virus rapidly sufficient to allow any change in masking habits. It is “private” solely in that it’ll cut back total ranges in an area- given time, very like a conveyable HEPA filter. https://t.co/RW0EikI5a6— Naomi Wu 机械妖姬 (@RealSexyCyborg) December 3, 2022
“One thing Terrible”
Lambert right here: I’m getting the sensation that the “One thing Terrible” is perhaps a sawtooth sample — variant after variant — that averages out to a completely excessive plateau. A number of exceptionally nasty sequelae, most certainly deriving from immune dysregulation (says this layperson). To which we’d add mind harm, together with character modifications therefrom.
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Elite Maleficence
“Taylor Swift Has Rocked My Psychiatric Follow” [New York Times]. “Just a few months in the past I began joking that half of the therapies in my psychiatric apply had turn out to be ‘Taylor-based.’ A lot of my sufferers are adolescent women and younger ladies, and so they have leaned on Taylor Swift as a sort of massive sister…. However because the Eras tour steadily lurched towards our favourite metropolis, the Taylor-based remedy points reached a boiling level. ‘How am I going to remain calm earlier than she goes onstage?’ ‘I have to do distant as we speak as a result of I can’t get Covid earlier than the live performance.’” • Right here in maybe its most debased type, is the intensely propagandized “private threat evaluation” paradigm: Enhance your protections so you’ll be able to go to a live performance? As an alternative of sustaining your protocol at a gentle excessive degree?
One other knowledge supply gone darkish, with curious timing:
NYS has been monitoring “nosocomial”(contaminated at hospital) infections since 2005. These sort of infections have been often called a public well being hazard for a century+. The NYS well being web site reporting these infections hasn’t been up to date since.. 2019. https://t.co/NARROGBAGX https://t.co/6RLjTcVqBm— thomas 🛠 IATSE STRIKE! (@t_NYC) June 22, 2023
One can solely surprise why. Provided that that is Hospital An infection Management, the chance that they stopped gathering knowledge as a result of there was now not an issue is nil.
Yep:
https://t.co/uaGrLBQbqW— Jonathan Mesiano-Crookston 🌬️🔅#COV1DisAirborne (@jmcrookston) June 15, 2023
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Case Knowledge
NOT UPDATED From BioBot wastewater knowledge from June 20:
For now, I’m going to make use of this nationwide wastewater knowledge as the perfect proxy for case knowledge (ignoring the scientific case knowledge portion of this chart, which for my part “goes dangerous” after March 2022, for causes as but unexplained). At the very least we will spot tendencies, and examine present ranges to equal previous ranges.
Variants
NOT UPDATED From CDC, June 10:
Lambert right here: Seems to love XBB.1.16 and now XBB.1.16 are outcompeting XBB.1.9, however XBB.1.5 has actually endurance. I positive hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to services reduce by directors of ailing intent).
CDC: “As of Might 11, genomic surveillance knowledge might be reported biweekly, based mostly on the supply of optimistic check specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice every week; semiweekly.” Seems like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform. Seems just like the Walgreens variants web page isn’t updating.
Covid Emergency Room Visits
NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, from June 17:
NOTE “Charts and knowledge offered by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous yr, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not your entire pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “similar to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is suitable for bothMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these individuals a lot. Discover additionally that this chart reveals, no less than for its time interval, that Covid isn’t seasonal, though CDC is making an attempt to get us to imagine that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the prevailing institutional equipment for injections.
Positivity
NOT UPDATED From Walgreens, June 19:
2.0%. Nonetheless chugging alongside, although absolutely the numbers are nonetheless very small relative to June 2022, say.
Deaths
Loss of life fee (Our World in Knowledge), from June 21:
Lambert right here: Theatre of the absurd. I can imagine that deaths are low; I can not imagine they’re zero, and I can not even imagine that each one medical doctors signing loss of life certificates have agreed to make it so. Seems to me like some administrative minimizer at WHO put the worst intern in control of the undertaking. And thanks, Johns Hopkins of the $9.32 billion endowment, for abandoning this knowledge feed and passing accountability on to the clown automotive at WHO.
Whole: 1,167,387 – 1,167,381 = 6 (6 * 365 = 2,190 deaths per yr, as we speak’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “dwelling with” Covid (fairly a bit larger than the minimizers would really like, although they’ll discuss themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I may should determine that is what the powers-that-be take into account “mission completed” for this explicit tranche of loss of life and illness).
Extra Deaths
NOT UPDATED Extra deaths (The Economist), revealed June 20:
Lambert right here: Nonetheless some encouragement! Unsure why this was up to date so quickly. The little blip upward?
Lambert right here: Based mostly on a machine-learning mannequin. (The CDC has an extra estimate too, however because it ran without end with an enormous typo within the Legend, I figured no person was actually it, so I obtained rid it. )
Stats Watch
Employment State of affairs: “United States Preliminary Jobless Claims” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of Individuals submitting for unemployment advantages have been at 264,000 on the week ending June seventeenth, above market expectations to match the prior week’s upwardly revised worth, the best since October 2021. The outcome aligned with different current knowledge that displays some softening within the US labor market after a protracted interval of cussed tightness, as US companies begin to really feel the influence of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive tightening marketing campaign.”
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Right this moment’s Concern & Greed Index: 80 Excessive Greed (earlier shut: 78 Excessive Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 82 (Excessive Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Jun 22 at 2:09 PM ET.
Zeitgeist Watch
Readers, particularly these of you who “meet the general public,” are you able to affirm with any anecdotes?
Anybody who works w/ the general public can let you know wealthy individuals are angrier than they’ve ever been – *utterly* unhinged over the smallest issues – and it’s like, you bought completely every little thing you wished, now you’ll be able to reward the remainder of us together with your silence. Chill atop your dragon hoard— Decorum Disassembly – mas.to/@decorummanager (@DecorumManager) June 15, 2023
Guillotine Watch
“The Biotech Edge: How Executives and Properly-Related Traders Make Exquisitely Timed Trades in Well being Care Shares” [ProPublica]. “Among the many notable examples: The chairman of a biotech firm purchased shares in a company companion simply because the companion was reaching the ultimate levels of secret negotiations to be bought. The chairman of a bone well being firm made aggressive bets on a medical know-how agency run by an adviser to his board simply earlier than its gross sales took off, netting him $29 million in a sequence of choices trades. A rich investor with ties to a distinct segment space of most cancers analysis personally traded, for the primary time ever, in an organization in that sector simply earlier than it was taken over. He purchased high-risk choices that earned him a fast $1 million in revenue. An data edge may be profitable in any trade, however particularly so within the well being care sector. A lot of its firms are constructed round just one or a handful of merchandise, making their shares notably unstable and ripe for revenue by buyers with inside information. Biotechs and different up-and-comers face clear make-or-break moments: Scientific trials, alerts from regulators or takeover rumors may cause wild swings in share costs.”
Class Warfare
Bakery, Confectionery, Tobacco Employees and Grain Millers Worldwide Union:
MEMPHIS: “We’re not asking for a ridiculous contract, we’re simply making an attempt to carry onto our pay & insurance coverage.”
200 employees on Strike on the IFF Plant (previously Dupont) — little media protection regardless of 6 press releases and a rally with 200+ individuals & a number of elected officers. https://t.co/SROVsD8ic1— The Tennessee Holler (@TheTNHoller) June 21, 2023
“The labor drive is smaller than you suppose and that’s making the Fed very nervous” [Fortune]. “The main explanation for the employee shortfall, based on analysis by the Fed, is a surge in retirements. In his current speech, Powell famous that there at the moment are about 3.5 million fewer individuals who both have a job or are on the lookout for one in contrast with pre-pandemic tendencies. Of the three.5 million, about 2 million encompass ‘extra’ retirements — a rise in retirements way over would have been anticipated based mostly on pre-existing tendencies. Roughly 400,000 different working-age individuals have died of COVID-19. And authorized immigration has fallen by about 1 million.” • Discover there’s no point out of Lengthy Covid in any respect; deaths is the one metric. It’s completely probably that Lengthy Covid is the first trigger for a lot of of these “extra retirements.” And it’s completely attainable that many employees determined {that a} commute to the office was a loss of life march to a loss of life lure, and determined they wished no a part of it.
Information of the Wired
“Crews Looking for Lacking Submersible Discover Particles Discipline in North Atlantic” [Wall Street Journal]. “One of many autos trying within the North Atlantic for a lacking submersible with 5 individuals aboard found a particles area throughout its search, as crews mounted a determined hunt for the misplaced craft. The supply of the particles wasn’t instantly clear. Consultants are evaluating the details about the particles area, which was discovered Thursday by a remotely-operated car close to the Titanic, the U.S. Coast Guard mentioned in a tweet…. ‘We proceed to search out in notably advanced circumstances that individuals’s will to reside actually must be accounted for as nicely,’ Coast Guard Rear Adm. John Mauger, who’s main the search, advised NBC’s ‘Right this moment’ on Thursday morning.” • It’s by no means been clear to me why we should always assume incentives operated to, nicely, protect the lives of all 5….
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Contact data for vegetation: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a test if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photographs of vegetation. Greens are advantageous! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you need your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it firstly of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From EMM:
EMM writes: “An ideal man as soon as mentioned ‘I’m bourgeois sufficient to treat an unkempt garden as a severe ethical failing.’ I let the garden go crackers and I can’t say I remorse it. Purple Clover.” For what it’s value, I’ve efficiently used white clover as a deer decoy. I plant it spherical the sides of the backyard, they begin munching on it, and don’t to additional.
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Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not coated by the annual NC fundraiser. So if you happen to see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see wherever else, please don’t hesitate to specific your appreciation in tangible type. Keep in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common optimistic suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. Once I get no donations for 5 or ten days I get fearful. Extra tangibly, a continuing trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I consider that trickle when setting fundraising objectives:
Right here is the display that can seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
For those who hate PayPal, you’ll be able to e mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I will provide you with instructions on easy methods to ship a test. Thanks!
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