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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
As common after a weekend and a Monday dereliction of obligation, I’ve far an excessive amount of materials, and so the Covid part is shorter than it ought to be. Tomorrow I’ll do higher! –lambert
Fowl Music of the Day
Jap Whip-poor-will, Flycatcher Flats, Sleepy Creek Rd, Berekely Co., Hedgesville,WVBerkeley, West Virginia, United States. “Grownup male Jap Whip-poor-will singing vegetation close to the highway.”
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Politics
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are actually a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
The Constitutional Order
Two households, each alike in dignity,In honest Verona, the place we lay our scene,From historical grudge break to new mutiny,The place civil blood makes civil palms unclean. –William Shakespeare, Romeo and Juliet
Shakespeare says the 2 households are “alike” in dignity, however he doesn’t say how a lot dignity they really have. If Verona’s households are like our events, the reply is “not a lot.”
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“The Sweep and Pressure of Part Three” [William Baude and Michael Stokes Paulsen, University of Pennsylvania Law Review]. I extremely suggest this piece (and the following dialogue at NC, beginning right here). As a former English main and a fan of shut studying, I’m not averse to “originalism,” of which Baude and Paulsen present a magisterial instance, within the sense that understanding the regulation as a textual content should start with understanding the plain, public that means of the phrases used when the textual content was written. That’s how I learn Shakespeare, or Joyce, so why not the Structure? Simply so long as understanding doesn’t finish there! In any case, I’m working by means of it. One factor I discover is that there do appear to have been fairly lots of rebellions and insurrections, not simply the Civil Battle. To me, that is parallel to 1 lesson I drew from Mike Duncan’s Revolutions podcast (episode 1): There are fairly lots of revolutions, too. Alert reader Pensions Man summarizes Baude and Paulsen as follows:]
The authors undergo an exhaustive textual and originalism evaluation of Part Three, and their Federalist Society leanings don’t deter them from reaching their conclusion that officers in each State who’re charged with figuring out candidate {qualifications} ought to conclude that Donald Trump is disqualified from being on ballots due to the oath he took on Inauguration Day 2017 and subsequently violated by means of his position within the rebel that occurred on January 6, 2021.
Taking “rebel” as learn (I must do extra studying), extra on my persevering with protection of Part Three.
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“Trump 14th Modification: New Hampshire GOP Feuds As States Grapple With Disqualifying Trump From Poll” [Forbes]. “Bryant ‘Corky’ Messner, a New Hampshire legal professional who ran for the U.S. Senate in 2020 with Trump’s endorsement, has instructed he intends to file a authorized problem questioning Trump’s 2024 candidacy underneath Part 3 of the 14th Modification… Messner met with New Hampshire’s Republican Secretary of State David Scanlan on Friday to debate the difficulty, Scanlan mentioned, prompting pushback from the state’s Republican Celebration, whose chief Chris Ager mentioned the celebration ‘will combat to ensure that candidates are usually not denied entry to the poll.’ … Past New Hampshire, Michigan’s Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson informed MSNBC she intends to hunt a authorized opinion on the difficulty from the state’s legal professional normal ‘when the time is true,’ and instructed she would work together with her counterparts in different battleground states like Nevada, Pennsylvania and Georgia to find out how you can proceed. Voters have filed lawsuits in Florida and Michigan difficult the constitutionality of Trump being on the poll, which might pressure state election officers’ palms, and authorized disputes over the difficulty are broadly anticipated to make it to the Supreme Court docket.”
2024
Time for the Countdown Clock!
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“Trump drops 6 factors in post-debate GOP ballot” [The Hill]. “Former President Trump noticed a slight lower in his help amongst Republican main voters after he skipped the primary GOP debate final week, in response to a brand new ballot from Emerson Faculty.” • Trump’s lead is so monumental {that a} six-point drop is “slight”:
Sure, just one ballot, however notice it contradicts the narrative: DeSantis, Pence, and Haley took votes from Trump; and Ramaswamy was a loser.
“The meme that also holds true about Trump’s maddening lasting energy” [MSNBC]. “Throughout Donald Trump’s first presidential run and time in workplace, there was a recurrent meme that was utilized to him: ‘#nothingmatters.’ It doesn’t matter what Trump did or mentioned, irrespective of how offensive, controversial or hypocritical his public statements, none of it affected how Republican voters considered him, and none of it introduced any penalties for him. For 2024, it’s more and more clear that ‘#nothingmatters’ must return — although for a barely totally different cause. It is a marketing campaign through which, actually, nothing issues. Voters way back made up their minds about Trump: About 40% suppose he’s nice, and the remainder of the nation can’t stand him. In a normal election, his numbers can be a bit larger as a result of there are Republicans who don’t like Trump however can’t think about voting for a Democrat. However there received’t be a broad swath of the voters giving him a brand new look…. Barring the aforementioned unexpected circumstance, Trump will win the 2024 GOP nomination, face off in opposition to Biden within the normal election — and certain lose. And nothing that occurs earlier than November 2024 will matter.” • This appears to be the traditional knowledge; 2024 is not going to be unstable. I discover that tough to imagine.
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The Instances model of a posh and tragic story:
“The Story Behind DeSantis’s Anecdote About an ‘Abortion Survivor’: [New York Times]. “Ron DeSantis wished to dodge a debate query a few six-week federal abortion ban.” That’s not reporting, except the reporters are telepaths. However extra: “So the Florida governor pulled out a private story, one which had lately develop into a part of his pitch to voters on the necessity for larger regulation of abortion rights. ‘I do know a girl in Florida named Penny,’ he mentioned. ‘She survived a number of abortion makes an attempt. She was left discarded in a pan. Thankfully, her grandmother saved her and introduced her to a distinct hospital.’ … The jarring anecdote caught the eye of viewers on social media, who speculated that Mr. DeSantis was fabricating the story. However Penny does exist. Mr. DeSantis’s marketing campaign says the governor has met her. She is Miriam Hopper, who goes by Penny and is an anti-abortion activist who lives in Florida and calls herself an ‘abortion survivor.’ … In a 2013 interview with the Florida radio station WFSU, carried out in the course of a statehouse debate over new abortion restrictions, Ms. Hopper mentioned that her story was primarily based on what she had been informed by her household. She mentioned that her father, raised throughout the Nice Melancholy, didn’t need one other baby and that she suspected a botched abortion had despatched her mom to the hospital with the issues…. Ms. Hopper’s mom, aunt, father and grandmother have died. It doesn’t seem that the incident was lined in information stories [Wrong! See below]…. Ms. Hopper mentioned that her story was primarily based on what she had been informed by her household. She mentioned that her father, raised throughout the Nice Melancholy, didn’t need one other baby and that she suspected a botched abortion had despatched her mom to the hospital with the issues.” • Household historical past jogs my memory of Liz Warren’s Cherokee ancestry. Learn on–
The Miami Herald model:
“DeSantis mentioned at debate a lady survived ‘a number of abortion makes an attempt.’ Right here’s the actual story” [Julie Brown, Miami Herald]. “Penny is actual and her final title is Hopper. However DeSantis failed to notice key particulars from her exceptional story: The one who tried to finish Penny’s life within the womb was not a health care provider and even an unlawful abortion supplier — it was her father…. This text relies on earlier recorded statements made by Hopper, newspaper clippings, public data and an interview with a member of the family who after talking to a journalist at size requested to not be recognized. She confirmed that Hopper’s model of occasions has been informed in household circles for years.” • So the Instances bungles the sourcing and will get the daddy’s position incorrect (in addition to burying it paragraphs deep).
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“There’s Extra Than Meets the Eye to Ramaswamy’s Local weather Remark” [Time]. “It’s price unpacking Ramaswamy’s debate feedback in larger depth. He began by declaring, brashly, that the ‘the local weather agenda is a hoax’ after which adopted up saying that the ‘anti-carbon agenda is the moist blanket on our economic system.’ He concluded arguing that ‘the truth is extra persons are dying of unhealthy local weather change insurance policies than they’re of precise local weather change.’ Ramaswamy makes clear from the leap that he opposes local weather coverage, however nowhere does he truly deny that human conduct is contributing to local weather change. Certainly, by speaking concerning the ‘agenda’ fairly than local weather change itself he tacitly acknowledges the truth of local weather change, or on the very least that the outdated positioning of local weather change as a hoax is not apt. In interviews following the controversy, he twisted local weather science, however he didn’t deny the phenomenon of local weather change even when given a number of alternatives to take action. However Ramaswamy did have loads to say concerning the validity of the ‘agenda,’ presumably referring to insurance policies being carried out by the Biden Administration to sluggish emissions. Ramaswamy’s argument has an apparent political logic to it. Polling reveals that the overwhelming majority of People know little or no concerning the Inflation Discount Act and different Biden local weather insurance policies. And whereas People more and more view local weather change as a menace, they rank it far beneath financial considerations. Certainly, one ballot launched earlier this yr confirmed that solely 38% of People could be prepared to pay a $1 per thirty days carbon charge to deal with local weather change. In brief, for a lot of voters, concern of a weak economic system will outweigh fears over local weather change. By branding local weather coverage as an financial downer, he and others can poison the nicely for any future local weather coverage.” • To repeat:
The local weather change agenda is a hoax. https://t.co/ZMMwAVnKfc
— Vivek Ramaswamy (@VivekGRamaswamy) August 24, 2023
Hmm. I can see how Biden’s local weather agenda is a hoax — although not in the best way Ramaswamy meant — however that’s not what Ramaswamy tweeted.
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“Bernie Sanders downplays fellow octogenarian Biden’s age: ‘Appeared high-quality to me’” [New York Post]. “Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) on Sunday downplayed fellow octogenarian President Biden’s age, recalling a latest assembly through which the 80-year-old commander-in-chief ‘appeared high-quality.’ ‘I met with the president, I don’t know 5 or 6 weeks in the past. We had an amazing dialogue. He appeared high-quality to me,’ Sanders informed NBC Information’ ‘Meet the Press.’” Generally Biden is ok; I’d speculate as a result of his workers juices him up. Different occasions, he’s not high-quality.
Daou on Sanders:
“Sanders hits at Cornel West over criticism of Biden” [Politico]. “‘The place I disagree with my good pal, Cornel West, is I believe in these actually very tough occasions, the place there’s a actual query whether or not democracy goes to stay in the US of America. … I believe we’ve received to deliver all the progressive group to defeat Trump or whoever the Republican nominee can be, [and] help Biden,’ Sanders mentioned on CNN’s ‘State of the Union.’” “‘Nevertheless, progressives nonetheless should ‘demand that the Democratic Celebration, not simply Biden, have the center to tackle company greed and the large ranges of revenue and wealth inequality that we see at this time,’ Sanders added.” • Unhappy to see.
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“Burisma’s Devon Archer met with then-Secretary of State Kerry simply weeks earlier than Shokin was fired” [FOX]. “‘I’ve mentioned repeatedly in my earlier interviews that [then-Ukrainian President Petro] Poroshenko fired me on the insistence of the then-Vice President Biden as a result of I used to be investigating Burisma,’ [Former Ukrainian Prosecutor General Viktor Shokin] mentioned within the interview. ‘[Poroshenko] understood and so did Vice President Biden that had I continued to supervise the Burisma investigation, we might have discovered the details concerning the corrupt actions that they have been participating in. That included each Hunter Biden and Devon Archer and others.” And however: “Nevertheless, in a press release to Fox Information, the White Home pointed to indications that Shokin was fired as a result of he had been too tender on corruption. The White Home additionally acknowledged that Shokin’s workplace had not been investigating Burisma or Hunter on the time of his ouster in March 2016, and it pointed to 3 stories revealed inside weeks of one another in 2019 by the Washington Submit, Related Press and New York Instances that mentioned Shokin’s workplace wasn’t investigating Burisma.” • That’s high-quality, however after seeing how the story of Hunter Biden’s laptop computer was suppressed by those self same venues — to not point out the Twitter recordsdata, which present an unholy emblobbification among the many press, the intelligence group, and the Democrat Celebration, the White Home’s argument from authority not holds water.
“Khanna says Biden aides heard his message on being overprotective: ‘Let him be on the market’” [The Hill]. “When requested on CBS’s ‘Face The Nation’ if Biden’s prime aides received Khanna’s message in April that they’re too overprotective of him, Khanna mentioned, ‘I believe they do. The president has an amazing story to inform.’” Extra Covid deaths with Trump? A proxy battle with a nuclear energy, and one we’re shedding? Extra: “He’s [Biden] a greater politician than anybody who works for him,’ Khanna mentioned Sunday.” That’s truly true, which is fairly horrifying. ‘Let him be on the market.’” • If I believed Khanna was Machiavellian, I’d say he was setting Biden up for a fall; and sooner, fairly than later.
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RFK asking for my vote (1):
🔥 Robert F. Kennedy, Jr Tells a Crowd in Nashville How He Plans to Assist People Compete In opposition to BlackRock’s Housing Takeover
“”I’m going to vary the tax code to make it very, very tough for them to compete with our youngsters. I’m additionally going to make a 3% mortgage… pic.twitter.com/wn0UWJQ8jw
— Chief Nerd (@TheChiefNerd) August 26, 2023
Personal fairness shouldn’t even be within the housing enterprise.
RFK asking for my vote (2):
BREAKING: RFK Jr. explains how the CIA & FBI used Operation Mockingbird to manage social media
Share this in all places!!pic.twitter.com/t57VawyUOy
— TaraBull (@TaraBull808) August 23, 2023
The intelligence group shouldn’t even be within the information enterprise.
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“Op-Ed: Cornel West, A Prophet For President” [Osagyefo Sekou, NewsOne]. On the finish: “[E]lectoral politics are stuffed with swift transitions. Poised the increase $70 billion by subsequent yr, the centrist No Labels Celebration is courting maverick Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV), which has adversarial results on the Democratic and Republican institution. Surprisingly, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (D) acquired 15% help amongst a pattern of the Democratic Celebration’s main in a Harvard CAPS/Harris ballot. His bombastic persona and star energy make him a major candidate for an impartial run after a Democratic main that he’s certainly going to lose. Donald Trump’s authorized troubles might shave off simply sufficient confidence that he loses a tightly contested Republican main, and he is not going to go quietly into the night time. So then, if No Labels Celebration, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. and Donald Trump run impartial candidacies, splintering the Democratic and Republican Events, all bets are off. The favored vote and Electoral Faculty could possibly be divided in a minimum of 4 methods. The fundamental problem for West and the Inexperienced Celebration manifold: 1) achieve poll entry; 2) create a complete floor recreation; 3) increase sufficient cash to be efficient; and 4) construct out a political discourse that can form public conversations. On this state of affairs, there’s a path to the White Home for Cornel West.” • In brief, 2024 can be unstable.
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Williamson asking for my vote:
There’s an official unwillingness to take a look at the severity of the Lengthy Covid phenomenon, but it surely’s right here and it’s actual.
Whereas that is one thing that might be taken care of by Medicare4All, on the very least there ought to be all medical providers mandatory made obtainable to anybody…
— Marianne Williamson (@marwilliamson) August 28, 2023
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“No Labels to host nominating conference in Dallas in April: Joe Lieberman” [The Hill]. “‘If we run it’s going to be a bipartisan ticket, so not solely will now we have concluded that it actually can win, however as a result of it’s bipartisan we’re assured it’s going to take equally from each events, so the concept we’re going to spoil it and reelect President Trump simply isn’t sensible,’ Lieberman mentioned. No Labels has been pushing for a bipartisan ticket to land a third-party bid to the White Home and has lately launched a marketing campaign in New Hampshire…. Ben Chavis, the Democratic co-chairman of No Labels, additionally informed NBC Information in June that the group ‘isn’t and won’t be a spoiler in favor of Donald Trump in 2024.’ No Labels confirmed to The Hill on the time it can finish its third-party push if Biden is forward within the polls subsequent spring.”
Democrats en Déshabillé
Affected person readers, plainly persons are truly studying the back-dated put up! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are a lot of updates. So I should try this. –lambert
I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Celebration (“the Democrat Celebration is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated put up, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “dwell” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Celebration is, actually, a tough drawback. I do suppose the paragraph that follows is on level all the best way again to 2016, if not earlier than:
The Democrat Celebration is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Pay attention, Liberal!). It follows that the Democrat Celebration is as “unreformable” because the PMC is unreformable; if the Democrat Celebration didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. If the Democrat Celebration fails to manipulate, that’s as a result of the PMC lacks the potential to manipulate. (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” in fact.) Second, all of the working elements of the Celebration reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between parts of the Celebration (ka-ching, however not fully) these parts comprise a community — a Flex Internet? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with property within the press and the intelligence group.
Be aware, in fact, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different lessons; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.
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Primaries? What primaries?
Requested by @ABC Information why Biden isn’t debating his Democratic main challengers—Marianne Williamson and Robert F. Kennedy Jr:
“”President Biden is the Democratic nominee…”” Richmond mentioned.
— Fritz Farrow (@FritzFarrow) August 23, 2023
“Column: Nancy Pelosi on Dylan, the Grateful Useless, a wild night time in Argentina — and the therapeutic energy of music” [Los Angeles Times]. “She’s buddies with Weir and drummer Mickey Hart, having seen the Useless and various iterations extra occasions than she remembers. On a number of events, the elegantly styled lawmaker has been seen dancing within the wings, 4-inch heels and all.” • As a palate cleanser:
Unexpectedly humorous and candy. (I’m additionally please the reviewer singles out Lesh, my hero, first!)
#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the deal with given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
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Coverage
On faculty closures:
One of the crucial vital myth-busting deep-dives I’ve ever carried out.
What was the actual impression of Covid faculty closures?Have been they avoidable?Did they trigger ‘studying loss’ & psychological well being decline?What is the impression of Covid on youngsters’ well being?
Please do watch:https://t.co/qHgwYA5b0I
— Mehdi Hasan (@mehdirhasan) August 25, 2023
Elite Maleficence
“Hospitals are killing sufferers as a result of they don’t really feel like doing an infection management” [The Gauntlet]. “I can’t imagine I’ve to say this, however an infection management isn’t one thing that may occur half time, in some instances, or solely throughout surges. As with gloves for bloodborne or hand washing for fomite transmission, protocols for airborne an infection management are a set of practices carried out completely and persistently to guard sufferers and healthcare employees alike. We don’t cease hand washing as a result of norovirus instances are down. We don’t cease carrying gloves as a result of HIV instances are down. As a health care provider, should you’re arguing that you must be capable to expose sufferers to COVID as a result of an infection management annoys you, you shouldn’t be a health care provider. Discover a new profession. I wager you’d love denying insurance coverage claims. I wager you’d be a pure. Making this image much more hair-tearingly irritating for disabled individuals avoiding healthcare settings is that the counter-argument for correct airborne an infection management actually is nothing past “”don’t wanna.”” There is no such thing as a logical argument for permitting the unfold of COVID-19 in healthcare settings. There is no such thing as a scientific debate concerning the methods through which COVID is spreading. There is no such thing as a threat evaluation which reveals that most cancers sufferers or individuals who’ve simply had coronary heart assaults ought to think about a COVID an infection to be no huge deal. There’s actually no excuse for this weird, unscientific mistreatment of sufferers aside from gross incompetence, institutional negligence, and systemic ableism.”
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Case Information
NOT UPDATED!!! From BioBot wastewater knowledge, August 24:
Lambert right here: Pleased reminiscences of tape-watching days! Closing in on a Trump-era surge stage; Biden’s, in fact, are larger. It is going to be attention-grabbing to see what occurs when colleges open up. I wish to congratulate the Biden administration and the general public well being institution, the CDC particularly, for this monumental and unprecedented achievement. And a tip of the ol’ Water Cooler hat to the Nice Barrington goons, whose insurance policies have been adopted so assiduously! A curious truth: All of Biden’s peaks are larger than Trump’s peaks. Exhibits you what public well being can do when it’s firing on all eight cylinders! Musical interlude. NOTE I’m not blissful that Biobot can’t replace this knowledge extra continuously.
Regional knowledge. As we will see, the nationwide flattening is because of the Midwest downward swoop:
Regional variant knowledge, August 19:
EG.5 (the orange pie slice) nonetheless appears evenly distributed. Sadly, the Midwest knowledge isn’t obtainable, so we will’t infer something concerning the Midwest surge and any variant(s), by some means.
• “Anthony Fauci on the latest spike in Covid instances” [BBC]. “In a large ranging interview about his life after retiring as director of the Nationwide Institute of Allergy and Infectious Illnesses, Anthony Fauci tells the BBC’s Katty Kay that 96% of the US inhabitants has a level of immunity once more
Variants
NOT UPDATED From CDC, August 19:
Lambert right here: High of the leaderboard: EG.5 (“Eris“). I’m not highlighting the BA.2’s as a result of the interactive model reveals that these BA.2’s been hanging round at a low stage for months.
From CDC, August 5:
Lambert right here: Undecided what to make of this. I’m used to seeing a brand new variant take down the beforehand dominant variant. Right here it appears to be like like now we have a “tag crew,” all working collectively to chop XBB.1.5 all the way down to measurement. I certain hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to services lower by directors of sick intent).
CDC: “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance knowledge can be reported biweekly, primarily based on the provision of optimistic check specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Seems like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
Covid Emergency Room Visits
From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, August 19:
Lambert right here: I modified this ER chart to a Covid-only chart damaged down by age. Be aware the 0-1 age group.
NOTE “Charts and knowledge offered by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous yr, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not all the pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “identical to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is acceptable for bothMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these individuals a lot. Discover additionally that this chart reveals, a minimum of for its time interval, that Covid isn’t seasonal, although CDC is making an attempt to get us to imagine that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the prevailing institutional equipment for injections.
Hospitalization
I hate this metric as a result of the lag makes it misleading. Nonetheless, right here’s bellwether New York Metropolis, knowledge as of August 29:
Nonetheless getting worse. However how a lot worse?
Right here is CDC’s map…. “In Previous Week,” as a result of there’s no [family blogging date]:
Orange = “substantial improve” (greater than 20%). Now that it’s too late, perhaps we’ll swing into a few of half-assed motion.
Positivity
Walgreens, August 28:
So, Walgreens is again within the recreation (and how on earth did that debacle occur? We breathlessly await the information protection). The share of positives is the best ever, although absolute numbers are nonetheless small relative to previous surges.
NOT UPDATED From CDC, August 7:
Lambert right here: That is the CDC’s “Traveler-Based mostly Genomic Surveillance” knowledge, confirming the present surge, solely two weeks late. Positive could be helpful to know if there have been any BA.2.86 in these samples, although!
Deaths
NOT UPDATED Iowa COVID-19 Tracker, August 23:
Lambert right here: The WHO knowledge is nugatory, so I changed it with the Iowa Covid Information Tracker. Their methodology: “These knowledge have been sourced, by way of the API from the CDC: https://knowledge.cdc.gov/NCHS/Situations-Contributing-to-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Stat/hk9y-quqm. This visualization updates on Wednesday evenings. Information are provisional and are adjusted weekly by the CDC.” I can’t appear to get a pop-up that reveals a complete of the three causes (prime proper). Readers?
Whole: 1,173,422 – 1,173,081 = 341 * 365 = 124,465 deaths per yr, at this time’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “dwelling with” Covid (fairly a bit larger than the minimizers would really like, although they’ll speak themselves into something.–> If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I may should determine that is what the powers-that-be think about “mission completed” for this specific tranche of demise and illness).
Lambert right here: First adverse quantity (!). Optimism?
Extra Deaths
The Economist, August 29:
Lambert right here: Again to virtually every day. Odd when it’s, odd when it stops. Based mostly on a machine-learning mannequin. (The CDC has an extra estimate too, however because it ran eternally with a large typo within the Legend, I figured no one was actually taking a look at it, so I received rid it. )
Stats Watch
Employment State of affairs: “United States Job Openings” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of job openings declined by 338,000 from the earlier month to eight.827 million in July 2023, marking the bottom stage since March 2021 and falling beneath the market consensus of 9.465 million. It additionally represented the third consecutive month of decline in job openings, indicating that the labor market is steadily slowing after months of unprecedented financial coverage tightening by the Fed.”
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Right now’s Worry & Greed Index: 50 Impartial (earlier shut: 48 Worry) [CNN]. One week in the past: 47 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Aug 29 at 1:57 PM ET. C’mon, Mr. Market! Someway!
Rapture Index: Closes unchanged [Rapture Ready]. Document Excessive, October 10, 2016: 189. Present: 185. (Keep in mind that bringing on the Rapture is nice.) NOTE on #42 Plagues: “The coronavirus pandemic has maxed out this class.” Extra sincere than most!
The Jackpot
“The Doomsday Prepper’s Daughter” [Jessica Wildfire, OK Doomer]. A wild story from Kentucky, price a learn. However can readers verify? Right here’s the ethical, spoiler eliminated: “Most survivalists don’t spend their time hoarding meals and weapons in underground bunkers. They concentrate on studying how you can develop meals, honing their expertise, and creating relationships. The wealthy do the other of all this. They suppose they’ll conceal in metal containers from all of the chaos they created. [C. Wesley Morgan’s] story reveals us how nicely that seems. The wealthy aren’t actually planning. They’re indulging in survivalist fantasies.”
Class Warfare
“COVID-19 and Training: An Up to date Survey of the Analysis” [Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland]. “Achievement ranges on quite a lot of standardized checks fell throughout the pandemic…. Proof means that check scores throughout the pandemic have been associated to the selection of educational mode. Relying on the precise statistical specification, Jack et al. (2022) discover that in-person education is related to a few 13 proportion level or 14 proportion level larger move fee in arithmetic and an 8 proportion level or 9 proportion level larger move fee in ELA than with digital education, whereas hybrid education is related to a few 7 proportion level or 8 proportion level larger move fee in arithmetic and a 5 proportion level or 6 proportion level larger move fee in ELA than with digital education. The results are largest within the decrease grades. Goldhaber et al. (2022) discover that distant instruction is related to widening achievement gaps, primarily as a result of the adverse results of distant instruction are bigger in magnitude at high-poverty colleges and to a lesser extent as a result of high-poverty colleges are extra probably to make use of distant instruction.”
NGOs gotta NGO:
This org was based by a former Bernie staffer. Whereas it’s offered as pro-union, all the enterprise mannequin relies round a small workers getting full time wages/advantages when all of the “”content material creators”” are paid gig wages with no wage or advantages not to mention medical insurance https://t.co/bOLiIoc3pg
— thomas 🛠 IATSE STRIKE! (@t_NYC) August 29, 2023
Information of the Wired
“The World’s Oldest Cat Door Has Been Letting Working Cats Enter the Cathedral Because the 14th Century”
Information of the Wired
I’m not but feeling wired at this time.
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REH writes: “Buckwheat flowering within the excessive desert of Oregon.”
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