Delhi Ordinance: With Congress’ support to Kejriwal, who have tables turned for, AAP or Centre? EXPLAINED

Tables activate Ordinance: The Ordinance tussle between the Centre and Delhi authorities took a brand new activate Sunday (July 16) after Congress performed a spoiler sport for the Centre and introduced to again the Arvind Kejriwal administration within the row, killing two birds with one stone. The Congress’ transfer not solely paved the way in which for the Aam Aadmi Get together’s participation within the joint Opposition assembly in Bengaluru but in addition elevated worries for the passage of the Invoice in Rajya Sabha which earlier appeared simpler for the federal government.

AAP has been demanding that Congress clarifies its stand on the Centre’s Ordinance over the management of companies in Delhi. Each events had attended the June 23 Opposition meet in Patna after which AAP made it clear that it will take part within the subsequent such assembly solely when Congress clarifies its stance. Congress, again then, mentioned that it will take a choice on the matter earlier than the graduation of the Monsoon Session of the Parliament, which begins July 20.

Nonetheless, on Sunday, Congress common secretary KC Venugopal introduced the social gathering’s assist for Kejriwal. “As for the ordinance, our stand may be very clear. We aren’t going to assist it,” he mentioned.

Quantity sport in Rajya Sabha

The Ordinance, when launched in Lok Sabha within the type of a Invoice, wouldn’t witness a lot hindrance in its passage because the BJP holds a significant share of seats within the Home, nonetheless, when it’s tabled within the Higher Home – Rajya Sabha – all of it boils right down to the quantity sport of the federal government and the Opposition.

The BJP and its allies – NDA in totality – have 109 MPs in Rajya Sabha which suggests that the federal government will want exterior assist (Opposition events to vote in favour) for the passage of the Invoice.

Presently, the Opposition has 128 MPs together with 31 belonging to Congress.

Had Congress determined to favour the Ordinance, which was pretty unlikely, it will have been a cakewalk for the BJP authorities to go the Invoice. Nonetheless, now with Congress opposing the federal government on the matter, the tables have turned, and it’s the authorities which has to do the brainstorming.

Arvind Kejriwal has been visiting numerous states to hunt the assist of Opposition leaders within the Rajya Sabha towards the Ordinance. Within the course of, he met Mamata Banerjee, Uddhav Thackeray, Sharad Pawar, Akhilesh Yadav, KCR and MK Stalin amongst others, all of who assured their backing within the Higher Home of the Parliament.

To date, he has garnered the assist of practically 70 MPs of the Opposition ranks together with TMC’s 12 MPs, DMK’s 10, BRS’ 7, RJD’s 6, CPI(M)’s 6, JD(U)’s 5, NCP’s 4, Uddhav Thackeray-led Shiv Sena’s 3, SP’s 3, CPI’s 2 amongst others. Now, with Congress supporting the AAP, Kejriwal nonetheless wants the assist of different events like YSRCP, BJD to dam the Invoice.

Historical past of Opposition voting sample on key Payments

In August 2019, the Rajya Sabha handed the Jammu and Kashmir Reorganisation Invoice regardless of opposition from a variety of events. The voting was primarily one-sided regardless of robust opposition each inside and out of doors the Rajya Sabha.

Solely 61 MPs opposed the Invoice, which obtained 125 votes in favour of it.

Citizenship Modification Invoice – The Opposition’s cohesion was at its peak when this Invoice was put to a vote within the Rajya Sabha. The BJP obtained 125 votes, whereas the opposition solely managed to safe 105 votes. Shiv Sena then selected to not vote within the Rajya Sabha.

Events which can assist the federal government within the Higher Home

If the federal government has to go the Invoice within the Rajya Sabha, it wants the assist of Opposition events. It might financial institution on the events which, prior to now, voted in favour of the federal government within the Home together with Naveen Patnaik-led Biju Janata Dal (9 MPs) (voted for the Triple Talaq Invoice), Jagan Mohan Reddy-led YSRCP (9 lawmakers) (voted for the NDA candidate within the Presidential election in 2022), and BSP (1 MP) (solid vote in favour of the federal government throughout Article 370 abrogation in 2019).

Chandrababu Naidu-led TDP, an ex-ally of the BJP, additionally has 1 MP in Rajya Sabha, whereas JD(S), led by former prime minister HD Deve Gowda, has a sole lawmaker within the Higher Home.

If all of those events solid their votes for the federal government, the numbers add as much as sail in favour, taking the numbers past the midway mark.

The BJP would hope to get the assist of BJD and YSRCP as soon as once more within the Home which might then imply the top of the street for Kejriwal in in search of Opposition’s assist for the Ordinance.

It’s, nonetheless, but not clear if the federal government would introduce any such Invoice within the Monsoon Session of the Parliament which begins on July 20. Nonetheless, if the Opposition, which is trying to sew an alliance for the 2024 Lok Sabha polls to cease the BJP from returning to energy for the third time in a row, votes for Kejriwal, it might nicely make the trail tough for the federal government going ahead with the Invoice.

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