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The sudden toppling of the EU’s fundamental ally within the Sahel has punctured Western schadenfreude on Russia’s Africa-summit flop.
In a single day information on Thursday (27 July) that Niger’s military had eliminated president Mohamed Bazoum from energy took Europe without warning, coming shortly after EU overseas affairs chief Josep Borrell visited Niamey to reward Bazoum’s pro-democratic reforms.
“The HRVP [Borrell] was in Niger final week, every thing was going effectively with the mission, every thing was happening observe,” his spokeswoman stated, referring to an EU military-training mission there.
When requested by press in Brussels if EU-trained troopers may need taken half within the putsch, the spokeswoman stated the EU mission started work solely in February and its coaching programs “haven’t but began”.
When requested if any overseas actors had been concerned within the coup, she added: “We’re at the moment evaluating the scenario … [things are] nonetheless very fluid”.
The EU, France, the UK, and the US condemned the putsch and urged troopers to free Bazoum.
“We advise British nationals to stay indoors,” the UK overseas workplace stated in flash safety recommendation to expats.
The US state division stated: “At the moment the town is calm. We advise everybody to restrict pointless actions, and keep away from all journey alongside Rue de la République [a central boulevard in Niamey]”.
If the coup succeeds, it’ll signify a significant setback for Western international locations attempting to take care of political and navy affect within the area.
France had not too long ago moved its centre of operations to Niger after Mali kicked out worldwide troops combating jihadists within the Sahel.
The strategic implications had been “very critical … not just for the French and EU but additionally the US, which maintains a drone base there [in Niger]”, stated Alex Vines, an Africa professional at British think-tank Chatham Home.
“The putschists of their assertion final evening stated all current [international] agreements could be revered — however informed exterior companions to maintain their distance relating to the coup,” he added.
The Niger shock comes amid a geopolitical tug-of-war between the West and Russia in Africa.
Niger borders Libya and Mali, the place Russian mercenary group Wagner has its largest numbers of fighters. It additionally borders Burkina-Faso, the place Wagner is attempting to construct a presence.
The coup coincided with Russian president Vladimir Putin’s summit with 17 African leaders in St Petersburg the identical day.
Borrell’s spokeswoman famous on Thursday that far fewer leaders got here to Russia than throughout Putin’s final Africa summit in Sochi in 2019.
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She additionally stated the EU had extra to supply Africa than Russia by way of assist and funding.
But when that was the case, St Petersburg appeared like a greater place than Brussels during which to plot intrigues on Niger’s future this week.
Putin’s friends included Mali and Burkina-Faso junta leaders Assimi Goita and Ibrahim Traore.
The Wagner boss, Yevgeny Prigozhin, was additionally there, in line with a photograph of him shaking arms with the protocol chief of the president of the Central African Republic, which was posted on social media, although Wagner had not too long ago mutinied towards the Kremlin.
For Chatham Home’s Vines, Russia had no hand within the Niger occasions.
“In no way, seems like that is totally pushed by native politics,” he informed EUobserver.
“We look ahead to a speedy decision of this inner political disaster within the curiosity of restoring civil peace for the advantage of our pleasant Nigerien folks. We depend on the speedy launch of president M. Bazoum,” the Russian overseas ministry additionally stated.
However Bazoum had complained in Might about anti-Western Wagner propaganda whereas on a state go to to London.
And a few Niger coup supporters additionally waved Russian flags and chanted anti-French slogans, Reuters reported, prompting hypothesis.
“That is Wagner modus operandi throughout,” stated Joana de Deus Pereira, a Russia specialist at British defence think-tank the Royal United Providers Institute.
The low attendance on the Africa summit may be a PR failure for Russia, however it could be a mistake to underestimate Putin’s tenacity, she added.
“For Putin, this [Africa campaign] is a marathon, most likely an Iron Man race — you wrestle, you combat, you endure,” she stated.
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